36+Research pieces indexed
Latest Aug 14, 2026
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Global Real Estate Intelligence is a neutral index of publicly available research. All rights in Trepp’s work remain with Trepp; we link to the original.
The Trepp Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) Delinquency Rate increased 51 basis points to 7.86% in July, as the total balance of delinquent loans rose by $3.52 billion to $47.5 billion. Among the loans that became newly delinquent during the month were 30 multifamily loans totaling $509.3 million. A…
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Among commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) mall loans, 96.3% of non-performing loans were written in 2016 or earlier, while loans written in 2017 or later are performing at essentially a 100% rate. The CMBS mall-loan market is not one population with a range of outcomes. It is two, split by origination…
Disclaimer: This is an excerpt from Trepp's "Investors Priced Four Data Center Deals 55 Basis Points Apart ” report. Click here to access. Four recent data center single-asset, single-borrower (SASB) commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) deals priced their last-pay AAA bonds across a 55-basis-point range.…
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Domestic private-label commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) issuance reached $76.2 billion through July 2026, measured by loan balance when each deal was sold, according to Trepp data as of July 31. Single-asset, single-borrower (SASB) deals, each backed by one property or one owner, made up $58.0 billion.…
Disclaimer: This is an excerpt from Trepp's July 2026 CMBS Special Servicing Report. To access the full report, click here. The Trepp commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) special servicing overall rate declined 11 basis points in July to 11.09%, partially reversing the increases of recent months.
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Multifamily has become a more important component of conduit commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) at the same time that recent-vintage performance has become harder to generalize. Multifamily represented roughly 20% to 23% of conduit securitization balance in 2024 through July 2026, compared with only 7% in…
Underwriting expectations for occupancy during the multifamily market's post-pandemic boom reflected the strong demand that characterized the market in 2021. Record apartment deliveries in the years since have reshaped market conditions, creating a widening gap between those expectations and current occupancy…
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Delinquencies remain modest, but Austin has the highest multifamily watchlist rate among the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). Austin’s multifamily challenges are not yet showing up primarily as missed payments. They are appearing one step earlier in surveillance. As of mid-July 2026, the…
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Disclaimer: This is an excerpt from Trepp's "Freezing the Rent: How Expenses Impact the Multifamily Investor" paper. Click here to access it . Rent control debates usually focus on tenants, affordability, and housing policy. Investors and lenders, however, tend to focus somewhere else entirely: net operating income…
The August 2026 private-label commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) hard-maturity 1 cohort totals $5.49 billion across 130 loan pieces 2 comprising 119 whole loans, roughly double July's $2.55 billion. Of the total, 125 loan pieces ($5.36 billion, 97.51%) are performing, while five loan pieces ($136.6…
Second-quarter earnings calls from banks with meaningful multifamily concentrations showed significant divergence in performance and pipelines. The ten banks differed not only from one another but, with two exceptions, also from recent super-regional commentary, where lenders reported stronger pipelines and…
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Eight of the 11 super-regional banks with comparable linked-quarter data reported higher commercial real estate (CRE) balances in the second quarter. But growth was uneven, and at several banks reflected acquisitions, greater utilization, or extensions that delayed runoff as much as new originations, while legacy…
Multifamily standards eased modestly during Q2, driven entirely by large banks, while aggregate demand remained essentially unchanged despite a sharp split by bank size. Trepp-i spreads are already at the bottom of their post-2021 range, suggesting that further competition may increasingly surface in loan structure…
Disclaimer: This text is an excerpt from Trepp's July 2026 CMBS Delinquency Report. To access the full analysis of the report, click here. The Trepp commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) Delinquency Rate increased by 51 basis points to 7.86% in July 2026, led by a group of very large loans whose status moved…
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Commercial loan growth returned across the regional bank group and competition continues for relationship-driven commercial credit even as some banks report modest increases in non-performing assets. Second-quarter results from 11 super-regional banks delivered a more constructive lending signal than in the first…
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The Fed is expected to hold rates this Wednesday, July 28th, 2026, but a hike is a real possibility after surging energy prices revived inflation concerns. Meetings can move markets even when the rate does not change. In June, the Fed held and still jolted rate expectations, producing the largest hawkish surprise…
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Some of the strongest long-run single-family housing markets in the country have also been strong multifamily investment markets. But the two property types did not always appreciate at the same pace. To see where the relationship held, and where it broke down, Trepp compared annualized value growth across four…
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Roughly $11.4 billion of securitized grocery-anchored commercial real estate debt comes due between 2027 and 2029, which is about 62% of the entire $18.6 billion grocery-anchored universe. The wall is front-loaded: 2027 alone carries $4.2 billion of maturities, more than either of the following years. That much…
Last week's surge in oil prices pushed Treasury yields to their highest levels since early 2025 and put a rate increase back on the table, two weeks after a soft June inflation report had taken it off. Here are three things to watch for this week:
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) delinquency rates suggest Whole Foods is a riskier retail tenant than Walmart. That's exactly the wrong conclusion. Among the top 200 CMBS tenants, Whole Foods Market carries a 22.4% delinquency rate, followed by Safeway at 9.7% and Costco at 5.5%. By comparison, Walmart…
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Community banks in the $2 billion to $6 billion asset range are assumed to carry safer retail commercial real estate (CRE) exposure than their larger peers. The reasoning: community banks more frequently lend to ‘needs-based’ retail, which is a fundamentally different credit from a super-regional mall. We tested…
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Every commercial real estate loan starts with a single number: how much a lender is willing to lend against a collateral property. That initial number is determined through “loan sizing.” At the proposal stage, the originator receives and organizes materials from the borrower or their broker that report the…
New York's single-tenant retail market delinquency rate is more than double Los Angeles's. But the real story isn't how much distress exists, but what kind of distress it is. The New York City metropolitan statistical area (MSA) carries an 18.5% delinquency rate, compared with 8.0% in Los Angeles, the…
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The most competitive corner of the retail CRE lending market right now is not the safest slice of the stack. It is the middle. Over the past year, lenders have gotten meaningfully more aggressive on the 60-65% loan-to-value (LTV) band, tightening the marginal price of that incremental debt while pricing on the…
A strong local economy should translate into safer retail credit performance. Faster income growth gives households more room to spend, supports tenant sales, and should improve the performance of loans backed by retail properties. We ranked states by real wage growth and compared retail commercial mortgage-backed…
Disclaimer: This is an excerpt from Trepp's "Where the Second-Half 2026 CMBS Refinance Gap Is Hiding" report. Click here to access it . Commercial real estate headlines continue to focus on the next wave of loan maturities. The assumption is straightforward: billions of dollars are coming due, making refinancing…
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Consumers say they feel worse than they did in 2008 and are spending like nothing is wrong. The Michigan sentiment index set a record low in May, the same month retail sales reached the top of their trailing year. The question for anyone in commercial real estate (CRE) reading the consumer is which signal to…
Last week's much softer June inflation report knocked a July rate increase off the table after hike odds had been climbing, and Chair Warsh did little in two days of congressional testimony to challenge that repricing. This week the Fed goes quiet ahead of its July 29 decision, while attention turns to the banks…
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After two years of tighter credit conditions, the bank commercial real estate (CRE) lending story has shifted from whether banks are pulling back to where balance sheets are growing again. Aggregate loan growth has picked up in parts of the CRE book, and recent lending commentary has pointed to a cautious return of…
Securitized Agency loan performance improved modestly in May 2026. The total Agency delinquency rate declined to 0.47%, holding near the low end of the narrow range that has prevailed since mid ‑ 2025, as shown in Figure 1. As in prior months, aggregate movement reflects program ‑ level composition effects rather…
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Florida’s unemployment rate rose to 4.8% in May, up from 3.7% a year earlier, one of the largest increases of any state and the highest Florida reading in nearly five years. The rate has continued to climb and now sits above the national unemployment rate of 4.3%.
Disclaimer: This is an excerpt from Trepp's "Is It Time to Proclaim San Francisco Is Back?" paper. Click here to access it . After five years of headlines declaring San Francisco commercial real estate uninvestable, the narrative is beginning to shift. Leasing activity is accelerating, institutional capital is…
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Office performance is increasingly separating along asset quality, market depth, and access to capital. Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) data shows a market that is no longer moving as one, with high-quality, well-located assets continuing to attract tenants and financing while weaker buildings face…
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Disclaimer: This is an excerpt from Trepp's June 2026 CMBS Special Servicing Report. To access the full report, click here. The Trepp commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) special servicing rate increased by 34 basis points in June to 11.20%, reversing May's decline. Across property types, special servicing…
Last week, the June Federal Open Market Committee minutes explained the hawkish hold, with inflation still the committee's dominant concern, while the consumer credit report showed card balances fell in May after two months of heavy borrowing. Here are three things to watch for this week.
Depending on your perspective, you may call it back-leverage or you may call it ‘loan-on-loan’ financing. Either way, loan-on-loan financing enables a fund to achieve higher leveraged returns while being an attractive risk-adjusted, capital-efficient way for a bank to lend. This primer is designed to explain how…
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