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Elevated Supply Weighs on Fundamentals Tampa multifamily fundamentals dampened as robust supply poured in. Average advertised asking rents rose 0.1%, on a trailing three-month basis through May, to $1,783. National rent growth surpassed the metro, climbing 0.3% to $1,767. The area’s average occupancy rate plunged…

The Tampa-St. Petersburg multifamily market is experiencing rebalancing as in-migration slows, with the metro projected to post its slowest annual population growth since 2011, and net absorption sharply declined in the second half of 2025 after six consecutive quarters above 2,000 units. Vacancy across Class A, B, and C properties remained in the 5 to 6 percent range heading into 2026, with construction deliveries expected to slow in some submarkets like West Pasco County-Hernando and the Peninsula while accelerating in Central Tampa and New Tampa-East Pasco County, though no deliveries are currently scheduled for 2027.

The Matthews Tampa industrial market report for Q1 2026 documents market fundamentals that softened as vacancy rose to 7.3% despite 379K SF of positive absorption, with 322K SF of new deliveries and 2.6M SF under construction continuing to pressure fundamentals. Asking rents reached $12.69/SF with annual growth of 3.4% representing a significant deceleration, while industrial sales volume totaled $240M with average sale prices at $154/SF and cap rates at 7.6%.

This is a first-quarter 2026 office market data report for Tampa, Florida published by CBRE on March 31, 2026.

This is an industrial sector data report published by CBRE on March 31, 2026, presenting first-quarter 2026 figures for the Tampa market.

Tampa Bay's multifamily market delivered 1,059 units in Q1 2026 (down 54.7% year-over-year), with 31 buildings totaling 8,908 units under construction, while stabilized occupancy fell to 91.0%, the lowest level in a decade, and effective rents declined 4.9% year-over-year to $1,806 per square foot. Investment activity remained strong with $2.0 billion in total sales, the second-highest volume in Florida, at an average sale price of $231,000 per unit, though select submarkets including East Tampa (95.5% occupancy) and Downtown Tampa (93.4% occupancy) continued to perform well.

Tampa's retail market in Q1 2026 maintained a 3.7% vacancy rate near historic lows despite negative net absorption of approximately 80,000 square feet driven by store closures and bankruptcies, while asking rents averaged $27.00 per square foot with continued quarterly growth supported by a constrained construction pipeline of roughly 800,000 square feet, most of which was preleased. The metro's strong fundamentals reflected population growth exceeding 3.4 million residents, unemployment at 3.9%, and broad tenant demand across grocers, discount retailers, fitness, and medical users, with annual investment sales volume reaching approximately $1.6 billion at a cap rate around 6.7%.

Tampa Bay's office market achieved its lowest vacancy rate since year-end 2021 at 18.2% in Q1 2026, down 110 basis points year-over-year, with the market ranking ninth nationally for annual vacancy improvements and posting 115,000 square feet of net absorption driven by major tenant move-ins including Geico's 61,000-square-foot expansion at Corporate Oaks I. Direct asking rents reached a historical high of $33.02 per square foot with Class A space commanding $36.30 per square foot (up 4.6% year-over-year), while 563,000 square feet of new leasing activity occurred in Q1 with the Westshore submarket leading at 264,000 square feet and concentrated primarily in Class A product representing 59.4% of activity.

Cushman & Wakefield's Tampa Bay retail market report for Q1 2026 shows that vacancy inched up 50 basis points year-over-year to 3.8% while remaining below the national average of 5.9%, with average asking rent rising 1.7% to $27.02 per square foot. Tampa's retail investment market recorded $324 million in total sales (up 6.9% year-over-year), ranking third-highest in Florida, with Q1 leasing activity reaching 813,000 square feet and nearly 92% of investment deals closing below $5 million.

Tampa Bay's industrial market vacancy rate decreased to 6.8% in Q1 2026, down 20 basis points quarter-over-quarter, with asking rents closing at $10.59 per square foot and reflecting a 2.6% year-over-year increase. Leasing activity totaled 1.2 million square feet in Q1, up 37.4% year-over-year, driven primarily by warehouse/distribution deals, while 1.5 million square feet remained under construction with 81% still available, expected to further elevate vacancy rates in coming quarters.