The industry's own research.
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Berlin's office market recorded 366,400 square meters of take-up in the first nine months of 2025, down 12% year-on-year and 27% below the five-year average, driven by weak demand from the ICT and public sectors and a shortage of large-scale deals. The market faces subdued economic sentiment among companies citing policy concerns, though Berlin's GDP grew 1.3% in the first half of 2025, vacancy reached 9.8% with 2.11 million square meters available, prime rents remained stable at €45.00 per square meter per month while average rents declined 6% to €26.85, and the outlook anticipates continued vacancy growth exceeding 11% by 2026 despite expected economic recovery from 2026 onwards.

In the first quarter of 2026, German commercial property transactions totaled €6.5 billion, representing a 25% increase year-over-year, with office properties comprising 26% of the market share and international capital accounting for 43% of transaction activity. The report projects a 10-15% increase in annual transaction volume to approximately €30 billion, contingent on stable geopolitical conditions, though geopolitical uncertainties and rising energy costs present downside risks to the market recovery.

In the first quarter of 2026, approximately €420 million was invested in Berlin's commercial real estate market, representing a 57% decline compared to Q1 2025, with Berlin ranking second among the top seven German cities. Net prime yields increased across asset classes during the twelve-month period, rising to 4.35% for offices, 3.95% for high street retail, and 4.50% for logistics properties, while investor interest remained strong despite challenging economic conditions and delayed transaction timelines due to financing adjustments.

The report analyzes Berlin's office market in Q4 2025, finding overall take-up of around 486,000 sqm representing a 16% decline year-over-year, though smaller and medium-sized deals increased 17% while larger contracts above 5,000 sqm fell significantly by 71%. Prime rents in Berlin increased 4% to €47 per square meter, with Mitte, Charlottenburg/Tiergarten, and Kreuzberg/Neukölln as leading markets by take-up, and location quality remaining the primary driver of leasing decisions across the city.

This JLL report covers Germany's housing market in the second half of 2025 across eight major cities (Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, Cologne, Frankfurt, Dusseldorf, Stuttgart, and Leipzig), analyzing rental and condominium price developments, construction activity, and supply-demand dynamics. Key findings include: rental growth in the Big-8 cities averaged +4.4 percent annually with significant variation by city (Hamburg +9.0 percent, Berlin +0.2 percent); condominium prices showed recovery with median growth of +2.9 percent in Munich and +5.3 percent in Dusseldorf; construction completions declined to preliminary lows of 251,900 units in 2024 and projected at 220,000–230,000 for 2025; and all analyzed cities face supply deficits ranging from 10 to 40 units per 10,000 inhabitants, with 2026 expected to mark the lowest completion point before recovery.

The BNP Paribas Real Estate Q4 2025 Investment Market Berlin report covers Berlin's real estate transaction volume of €3.25 billion, down 8.5% from the previous year but slightly exceeding the three-year average. The report notes that Berlin maintained its position as the leading A-location in Germany, with the largest transaction being the Upper West sale for over €400 million, and reports prime yields of 4.25% for offices, 3.85% for premium retail, and 4.50% for logistics properties.

The Berlin logistics market recorded 425,000 square meters of take-up in 2025, representing a 55% increase compared to 2024, driven primarily by larger deals above 20,000 square meters which accounted for 35% of total take-up and by strong demand in central, inner-city locations. Prime rents for logistics space with unit sizes above 5,000 square meters rose to €8.25 per square meter, while significantly higher rents were achieved for smaller light industrial spaces within Berlin's city boundaries.

Berlin's office market recorded 362,000 sqm of take-up in the first three quarters of 2025, approximately 14% lower than the prior year, though demand in smaller segments up to 5,000 sqm reached 320,000 sqm, the highest level since 2019. Prime rents increased 2% in Q3 and 4% year-on-year to €47/sqm, with city zones accounting for 60% of take-up and holding 71% of under-construction space.

The Berlin logistics market recorded take-up of 320,000 sqm in Q3 2025, representing a 50% increase year-over-year and returning demand to positive territory after weakness in the prior year, though this figure is 11% below the long-term average when excluding the Tesla plant's outsized 2022 contribution. Rents show a two-tier market with inner-city smaller warehouses exceeding €10 per sqm due to high demand, while large-scale prime and average rents stabilized at €8.20 per sqm and €7.20 per sqm respectively on the city's outskirts.
At the 2026 ULI Europe Conference in Berlin, speakers argued that Europe's future competitiveness will depend less on matching the scale of the United States or China and more on leveraging its strengths in governance, resilience, capital formation, and its network of highly livable cities.

In its 23rd edition, the report found sentiment shifting from cautious optimism to pragmatism, with the share of leaders concerned about deglobalisation more than doubling to 70 percent, while London, Madrid, Paris and Berlin led the city rankings.