The industry's own research.
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Freddie Mac Multifamily reports 2025 production volume topped 77 billion dollars, up 17 percent year over year, supporting over 577,000 affordable rental housing units.
Heitman announced the final close of Heitman Value Partners Fund VI with 2.6 billion dollars in commitments, providing roughly 6.55 billion dollars of dealmaking capital across medical office, student housing, senior housing, self storage, multifamily and industrial assets.
Newmark Research frames its 2026 base case as a decaf stagflation environment, with industrial supply and demand rebalancing, office demand building and slowing multifamily supply shaping rent growth.
The January 2026 Beige Book summarises commentary on current economic conditions across the twelve Federal Reserve Districts, including commercial real estate, construction and lending activity.
The Greater Los Angeles edition reviews local office, industrial, retail and multifamily conditions for 2026, noting the lagging office market is bottoming out.
CBRE's flagship annual outlook projects U.S. GDP growth slowing to 2.0% in 2026 and commercial real estate investment rising 16% to roughly $562 billion, with returns described as income driven.
The Denver edition reviews local sector conditions for 2026, with the office market expected to follow other lagging metros toward a bottom by year-end.
Commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding increased 53.4 billion dollars, or 1.1 percent, to 4.93 trillion dollars at the end of the third quarter of 2025. Multifamily mortgage debt alone rose 40.3 billion dollars to 2.24 trillion dollars.
The outlook notes 2025 office originations were the highest since the Great Recession even as office delinquencies stayed elevated, creating a bifurcated environment. Morningstar DBRS maintains a stable view on hotel, retail and multifamily sectors despite asset- and market-specific stress.
Marcus & Millichap projects net absorption of about 240,000 units against 270,000 completions, lifting vacancy 10 basis points to 4.7%, with units under construction down 53% from the 2023 peak.
U.S. housing inventory expanded in December 2025, marking the 26th consecutive month of year-over-year gains, with active listings up 12.1 percent versus December 2024. National inventory levels remain 12.5 percent below typical 2017 to 2019 norms.
J.P. Morgan's 2026 commercial real estate outlook sees multifamily and industrial staying strong, retail steady and office recovering in select metros, with improving transaction volumes despite macro headwinds.
KBRA reports the delinquency rate among KBRA-rated US private label CMBS decreased to 7.7 percent in December 2025 from 7.8 percent in November, while the distress rate ticked up to 10.6 percent.
The Office of the CIO outlook highlights macro events on the horizon in 2026, including Federal Reserve leadership changes, tariffs and US trade policy uncertainty, and the US midterm elections. The views draw on insights from more than 270 portfolio companies and roughly 13,000 real estate assets.
The quarterly report covers U.S. apartment demand, supply deliveries, occupancy and rent growth. It assesses national multifamily fundamentals and capital markets activity.
The Q1 2026 Apartment Update reported monthly effective rent advancing 1.7 percent over the trailing four quarters, accelerating from 1.2 percent growth in the prior year.
Newmark reports U.S. capital markets momentum strengthened through year-end 2025 as improving liquidity and active debt markets sustained a rebound in transaction activity. Institutional investment rose 23 percent year-over-year, while 547 billion dollars in loans maturing between 2025 and 2027 remain potentially troubled, led by office and multifamily.
PGIM Real Estate views valuations as near cyclical lows globally, positioning 2026 as a compelling investment vintage amid supply shortages, rising grade-A rents and structural demand. Investor surveys point to a pick-up in transaction volume across all sectors.
BGO chief economist Ryan Severino presents the firm's 2026 global outlook, projecting modest growth near 2 percent with moderating inflation and easing central banks. Industrial, housing and data centers are highlighted as the strongest investment opportunities.
Newmark's fourth quarter 2025 multifamily capital markets report reviews transaction volume, pricing, debt availability and investor demand for U.S. apartment assets.
The ANREV Australia Core Open End Fund Monthly Index gross return report covering October to December 2025, tracking the net asset value performance of Australian core open-end non-listed real estate funds.
The 2026 Europe outlook details country, capital, sector and submarket specific opportunities as the regional market emerges from the value reset into a new investment cycle.
The outlook projects commercial real estate lending rising to 805 billion dollars in 2026, a 38 percent increase over the 583 billion seen in 2025. Peak maturity volumes of 875 billion are forecast for 2026, keeping refinancing risk elevated even as multifamily fundamentals improve.
New condominium apartment sales in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area fell 60 percent in 2025 to just 1,599 units, the lowest annual total since 1991. A record 28 active condo projects totalling 7,243 units were cancelled during the year.
The global outlook synthesized the United States and Canada, Europe and Asia Pacific editions, offering a cross-regional view of investment and development prospects for 2026.
Principal characterized the CRE cycle as having moved into recovery with returns diverging sharply across sectors, regions and strategies, signaling an alpha-driven environment requiring careful asset and market selection.
The first quarter 2026 U.S. outlook sets out BGO's house views on the economy and commercial real estate sectors. The report assesses fundamentals across industrial, housing, retail and office as the cycle turns.
Annual net absorption fell from 20.5 million sq ft in 2024 to 852,722 sq ft in 2025 despite more than 12 million sq ft of tenant growth in the fourth quarter. Deliveries in 2025 totaled 253.6 million sq ft, down 52 percent from the 526 million sq ft record set in 2023.
The overall capitalization rate for the four benchmark asset classes eased 1 basis point to 5.92 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025. Halifax, Vancouver and Toronto led investor preference, with food-anchored retail strips remaining the most sought-after property type for an eighth consecutive quarter.
A total of 9,821 purpose-built rental units started construction in the GTHA in 2025, a 42 percent increase over 2024 and the highest annual total since the 1970s. Purpose-built rental completions reached a more than 40-year high of 6,379 units.
The December 2025 RCA CPPI release reports the National All-Property Index up 2.4 percent from a year earlier, with recent momentum stronger as the annualized change averaged 9.7 percent over the prior three months. The indexes cover the major property sectors and US metros.
The GREFI All Funds Index, produced with INREV and NCREIF, was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter in Q3 2025 with a total return of 0.89 percent, down 13 basis points from 1.02 percent in Q2 2025. All regions recorded positive returns, with Asia Pacific leading, and core funds outperformed non-core peers.
Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group projects the U.S. housing market regaining momentum into 2026 with total housing starts near 1.3 million annually and multifamily construction leveling out as supply and demand rebalance, while the 30-year fixed mortgage stays above 6 percent through much of the forecast.
Ares argues real estate is entering a new phase, with liquidity returning and values stabilizing across key sectors. Structural trends from AI-driven infrastructure to evolving housing demand are creating entry points for investors at an inflection point.
The November report finds affordability reshaping where Americans can buy, with buyers increasingly finding opportunities in smaller traditionally affordable refuge markets that have seen notable growth in price per square foot.
Zillow forecasts U.S. home values rising 1.2 percent in 2026 and existing home sales increasing 4.3 percent to 4.26 million, with multifamily rents projected to rise just 0.3 percent and single-family rents up 2.3 percent as affordability improves.
RealPage identifies 11 of the 50 largest apartment markets expecting effective asking rent gains of 3 percent or more in 2026, led by Miami at 3.8 percent, Seattle at 3.7 percent and Los Angeles at 3.2 percent.
Advertised asking rents slipped 0.9 percent, or 16 dollars, to 1,737 dollars in December, marking the weakest monthly performance since the global financial crisis.
Brookfield's annual investment outlook argues that 2025 was the year the real estate market reopened and 2026 will reward tactical investors as liquidity rebounds, with focus areas spanning housing, logistics, data centers and hospitality across the equity and credit portions of the capital stack.
Montagu Evans assesses a complex UK economic picture at year-end 2025 with slowing GDP growth and easing inflation, noting resilience in Central London leasing and selective investor appetite in industrial and residential.
KBRA's November 2025 report tracks delinquency and distress rates across KBRA-rated US private label CMBS, with continued pressure in the office and multifamily sectors.
RealPage forecasts national effective apartment rents growing about 1.9 percent in 2026 after a roughly 60 basis point decline in 2025, with approximately 316,000 units projected to deliver nationwide and an undersupply challenge re-emerging as new starts fall to their lowest level since 2012.
The quarterly survey aggregates independent forecasts for UK commercial property rental value growth, capital value growth and total returns across sectors through 2029.
Clarion's third quarter 2025 update tracks stabilizing values and income-driven performance across U.S. property. The firm believes the market is embarking on a new cycle following a peak-to-trough value decline of 18.7 percent.
In its 23rd edition, the report found sentiment shifting from cautious optimism to pragmatism, with the share of leaders concerned about deglobalisation more than doubling to 70 percent, while London, Madrid, Paris and Berlin led the city rankings.
Barings outlines plans to deploy approximately 2 billion euros of equity capital into Europe's next real estate cycle, focusing on residential and logistics where fundamentals remain strong.
The monthly snapshot tracks U.S. multifamily rent growth, vacancy and investment activity, with conditions stabilizing as supply pressures eased through late 2025.
The report examines the affordable rental sector following the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit allocation increases in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and notes declining market-based borrowing costs supporting a more accommodative financing environment.
The monthly report finds the office market showing tentative improvement in November, with annual absorption losses narrowing sharply although demand remained slightly negative.
KBRA reports the delinquency rate among KBRA-rated US private label CMBS rose to 7.9 percent in October 2025, with 1.7 billion dollars in loans newly added to distress and multifamily seeing the highest new volume.
The third quarter 2025 NPI press release reports continued stability in institutional returns across the major property types, with income returns holding steady.
A total of 161 senior executives responded to the October survey, with borrowing conditions continuing to improve while most respondents reported an unchanged market.
Conducted in August 2025 and published in the September 2025 Summit Journal, the H2 2025 survey reports global investor sentiment and predictions for US commercial real estate.
Goldman Sachs Research finds US housing affordability has declined sharply and estimates at least 3-4 million additional homes are needed to close the supply shortage and improve affordability.
Fannie Mae's October 2025 outlook details the Economic and Strategic Research Group's expectations for home sales, housing starts, home prices and mortgage rates amid elevated borrowing costs and affordability constraints.
CRED iQ's third-quarter 2025 market update reviews CMBS distress trends and broader commercial real estate conditions across major property sectors.
The report ranks leading U.S. multifamily investment markets, with U.S. fundamentals stabilizing during the third quarter of 2025 as supply imbalances eased and investment activity climbed.
Urbanation reports purpose-built rental projects continued to advance in the third quarter of 2025 even as average rents declined. The vacancy rate for buildings completed since 2000 rose to its highest level since 2020.
RealPage's third quarter update reports apartment occupancy easing 30 basis points to 95.4 percent, with strong resident retention offsetting cooling demand and reshaping multifamily strategy heading into 2026.
The average U.S. advertised asking rent slid 4 dollars to 1,743 dollars in October, up 0.5 percent year over year.