The industry's own research.
30 reports
The nation's largest educator pension fund posted its strongest annual investment gain in years, strengthening a long-delayed march toward full funding even as its commercial property holdings sit below target in a still-recalibrating market. The post CalSTRS Clinches 13.9% Return, Lifts Funded Ratio to 79% as Real…
JLL research lead Alexander Quinn says Bay Area office-job demand and San Francisco AI leasing are both climbing sharply, cutting against fears that artificial intelligence is gutting the region's white-collar workforce. The post AI Now Fills 10% of San Francisco Office Supply as Bay Area Job Postings Jump 45%…

The San Francisco Bay Area's beleaguered life science market posted positive net absorption and a rebound in venture funding in the second quarter, according to Newmark, even as record vacancy, falling rents and a frozen construction pipeline showed how far recovery remains. The post Bay Area Life Science Market…

The San Francisco Bay Area was conspicuously missing from a national ranking of the strongest apartment markets for first-half 2026 net absorption, an absence that reflects the region's rock-bottom vacancy and thin construction pipeline rather than any weakness in renter demand. The post Why the San Francisco Bay…
By John Cumbelich Our firm recently completed a Q2 survey of the region’s 25 flagship Power Centers, in which we reported that occupancy levels across the Northern California region reached their highest levels in 4+ years. Across a 13 million square foot cross section of the region’s top retail assets, occupancy…
San Francisco's office market logged its fourth straight quarter of positive absorption at midyear 2026, as a revival of large space requirements, an artificial-intelligence hiring wave and fierce competition for view-rich floors pushed demand to a level the city has not matched in six years, according to research…

Sacramento’s office vacancy declined and absorption turned positive in the second quarter, but every one of the market’s five largest leases went to a government or healthcare tenant, leaving the sector’s recovery resting on public-sector demand as private companies continue to sit on the sidelines, according to…

Silicon Valley’s retail landscape has shifted into a landlord’s market, where ethnic grocers, medical users and drive-thru coffee chains are competing over a shrinking supply of well-located, high-infrastructure space even as single-tenant net-lease investment sales slide for a second consecutive year. Silicon…

A resurgent apartment market across Silicon Valley’s core submarkets is delivering the strongest rent growth in years, reviving transaction velocity and drawing institutional buyers back off the sidelines even as owners contend with higher interest rates, soaring insurance and the looming threat of new rent-control…

Northern California recorded 68 hotel sales in the first half of 2026, but dollar volume fell 15.7 percent to $641.8 million as steep declines in San Francisco and Alameda counties overwhelmed gains in Sonoma and Sacramento. The post Northern California Hotel Sales Slide 16% to $642MM as San Francisco and Alameda…

Silicon Valley’s industrial market has split into two economies — one defined by artificial intelligence, data centers and an insatiable appetite for power, the other by older, irreplaceable Class B and C buildings that are steadily vanishing — leaving the region tight, low on vacancy and firmly in landlords’…

Silicon Valley’s industrial and research-and-development markets both firmed in the second quarter of 2026 as artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing tenants absorbed large blocks, pushed vacancy lower and pulled the region’s commercial real estate fundamentals back toward pre-downturn norms. The…

Northern California’s commercial real estate developers are betting on an artificial-intelligence-fueled rebound in San Francisco and Silicon Valley, but persistent cost and interest-rate uncertainty is keeping shovels in the ground everywhere except multifamily and retail. San Francisco and Silicon Valley have…
Colliers’ Q2 2026 report found Bay Area office vacancy fell to 20 percent and sublease space hit its lowest level since early 2020, as a surge in AI-driven venture funding — $162.2 billion into San Francisco companies so far this year — pushed leasing volume toward the strongest annual pace of the current cycle.…

Sacramento’s office market posted its strongest quarter in years during the second quarter of 2026, absorbing nearly 200,000 square feet and driving vacancy down toward the 20 percent threshold, though a widening gap between trophy and commodity space left much of the recovery concentrated in a handful of…

Colliers’ Q2 2026 report shows the Bay Area’s office construction pipeline has shrunk to just 636,000 square feet, with 89 percent of it concentrated in two build-to-suit Santa Clara campuses fully leased to Nvidia and Arista Networks — a sign that developers are refusing to break ground without a committed AI-era…
Essex Property Trust’s Northern California apartments outperformed every other region in its portfolio during the second quarter of 2026, as tightening Bay Area rents and falling operating costs drove the strongest income growth of the company’s West Coast markets. Same-property revenue across Northern California…
D.R. Horton’s affordability-first strategy collides with a Northern California market where the typical home costs more than twice the statewide median and far beyond the builder’s average sale price, even as analysts flag the tech-driven Bay Area as a pocket of national strength. The most expensive corner of the…

Oakland’s three marquee retail corridors tightened again in the second quarter of 2026, lifting combined occupancy to 92.48 percent even as Montclair Village continued to nurse a trio of empty storefronts, according to a new John Cumbelich & Associates report. Oakland’s premier retail districts extended their run…

San Francisco’s largest-ever budget quietly wagers its balance on a commercial property recovery that is gathering speed but remains far from complete, tying City Hall’s fiscal fate to deal flow, downtown office demand and a business-tax overhaul now phasing in. The San Francisco Board of Supervisors on July 21…
San Jose says six weeks of World Cup soccer drew one million visitors to its downtown and pushed hotel revenue per available room up 42.3 percent year-over-year, handing the city fresh evidence for its long-running wager on a downtown sports-and-entertainment district. The city measured the payoff Friday, tallying…

Wells Fargo's latest U.S. outlook warns that stubborn inflation and a more hawkish Federal Reserve will keep borrowing costs elevated into 2027, sustaining the affordability squeeze on housing and traditional commercial property even as the artificial intelligence buildout keeps data center and power construction…

A new statewide survey shows commanding, cross-partisan support for a November ballot measure that would impose hard deadlines on California’s landmark environmental review law, a shift that would reshape the entitlement calculus for housing and infrastructure developers across the state. Proposition 45, the most…

Occupancy across the Bay Area’s flagship power centers reached its strongest level since early 2022 during the second quarter, propelled by East Bay absorption and a wave of large-format retailers—led by Korean grocer H Mart—reclaiming space that vanishing open-air centers can no longer offer. The Bay Area’s…

The Walnut Creek office market posted its first quarter of positive net absorption in more than two years during the second quarter of 2026, pulling vacancy off its cycle peak as tenants chased higher-quality space across the North I-680 Corridor. Net absorption in the Walnut Creek office market swung to a positive…

The Napa and Solano Counties office market clawed back occupancy in the second quarter of 2026, but landlords paid for the gains by cutting asking rents to their lowest level in years. Office vacancy across the two-county market fell to 12.7 percent in the second quarter, down 150 basis points from the prior…

San Francisco’s apartment market has moved from bottom to boom in two years, with citywide rents rising 15 percent and institutional buyers now dominating a sector that mom-and-pop owners controlled as recently as 2024. San Francisco’s multifamily market has staged a recovery emphatic enough that its lead broker…

Softening tenant demand and mounting move-outs pushed the Walnut Creek and North I-680 industrial market to its highest vacancy of the cycle in the second quarter, even as landlords held the line on asking rents and a wave of new construction prepared to test the market’s absorption capacity. Industrial vacancy…

The San Francisco Peninsula office market extended its recovery into the second quarter of 2026 with a fourth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption, as artificial intelligence tenants drove demand, vacancy edged lower and the region’s first new speculative construction in years advanced in San Mateo. The…

California shipped $16.735 billion in merchandise abroad in May while the rest of the country surged ahead, dropping the state’s share of national export trade to 8 percent and raising fresh questions about demand for the warehouse and port infrastructure built to serve it. The Golden State’s exporters posted a…