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Barings reports that US commercial real estate valuations held steady in the second quarter of 2025 following a basis reset, though transaction activity was limited by economic uncertainty and post-tariff volatility.

The NPI posted its fourth consecutive quarter of positive returns in the second quarter of 2025, confirming a sustained recovery in institutional property performance.

At mid-2025, multifamily, retail and industrial assets proved resilient with rents, vacancies and cap rates holding steady, while the piece flags emerging opportunities in workforce housing and distressed office.
The mid-year update views real estate as fair value in Europe, the UK and APAC after the big price reset. Questions over US policy direct greater investor interest toward those markets.

Urbanation reports completed but unsold condominium inventory in the GTHA reached a record high in the second quarter of 2025. The data reflects a sharp slowdown in new condo sales and rising standing inventory.

The mid-year national Apartment Update reviewed supply, demand, rent and occupancy trends, noting absorption gains as elevated deliveries continued to be absorbed across major markets.

AEW reports that aggregate U.S. commercial property transaction volume through Q3 2025 ran more than 15 percent ahead of the prior-year pace, with investor return expectations for most property sectors clustered near 7.0 to 7.5 percent. Seniors housing and office represented the upper and lower bounds of expected returns respectively.

CBRE's mid-2025 survey gathered 3,600 cap rate estimates from more than 200 professionals across over 50 markets, indicating broadly stable cap rates despite bond market volatility.

Principal reported commercial real estate in its strongest position in three years, with private-market pricing likely having reached its trough and operating income supporting an investment performance rebound.

The rise in the nationwide multifamily vacancy rate halted in the second quarter of 2025, holding essentially unchanged at 6.5 percent as peak deliveries appeared to have already occurred.

Among GTHA purpose-built rental projects completed since 2000, a 65 percent share offered incentives to renters in the second quarter of 2025, up from 36 percent a year earlier. The data signals softening rental conditions amid new supply.

The Q3 2025 UK outlook maintains a constructive view on living, industrial and retail sectors, with income returns continuing to drive performance amid limited yield compression.

abrdn forecasts European all-property total returns of 7.1 percent over the 12 months to June 2026. European logistics leasing has softened but is expected to bottom out as the year progresses.
The monthly report analyzes U.S. commercial real estate fundamentals across the major property sectors amid elevated financing costs.

The summer 2025 update assessed UK commercial and residential investment activity, covering national investment, the hotel market, build to rent and auction performance.

CBRE's midyear review finds cap rates relatively stable despite bond market volatility, with incremental compression in certain sectors expected to materialize more broadly in 2026.

Retail demand turned negative for the first time since the Covid lockdown, with net absorption of negative 8.9 million sq ft in the second quarter. Overall office vacancy fell 10 basis points to 8.1 percent as Class A demand exceeded supply.
Commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding increased 46.8 billion dollars, or 1.0 percent, to 4.81 trillion dollars at the end of the first quarter of 2025. Multifamily mortgage debt rose 19.9 billion dollars to 2.16 trillion dollars.

Trepp's Mid-Year 2025 publication highlights strong multifamily fundamentals despite signs of growing distress across other commercial real estate sectors.

The report examines investment potential in Canada's mid-market apartment segment, citing demand drivers and supply constraints across major markets.
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The outlook frames the repricing of commercial real estate as creating disciplined deployment opportunities through bridge lending and value-add equity strategies. It positions multifamily as transitioning from a supply-heavy correction toward improving fundamentals.

Montagu Evans' Residential Land Survey assesses UK residential land values and development sentiment across key markets in 2025.
The monthly report reviews U.S. commercial real estate demand, vacancy and rent trends across the office, retail, industrial and multifamily sectors.
The monthly report reviews U.S. commercial real estate sector performance and the impact of macroeconomic conditions on demand.
The commentary argues that after near-term disruption the multifamily sector faces a constructive outlook, supported by steady rental demand and a moderating supply pipeline. Mid-market and affordable units continue to see steady absorption.

The NCREIF Fund Index Open End Diversified Core Equity reported final first quarter 2025 results, continuing the recovery in core open-end fund total returns.

The NPI reported that institutional property returns continued to improve in the first quarter of 2025, extending the recovery in private real estate performance.

The overall capitalization rate for the four benchmark asset classes held largely stable at 5.87 percent in the first quarter of 2025. The quarter revealed a Canadian market navigating changing monetary policy and international trade dynamics.

The Market Tightness Index came in at 52, above the breakeven level of 50 for the first time since July 2022, indicating tighter conditions such as lower vacancies and higher rent growth.

The outlook anticipates tariff pressures weighing on office, retail and industrial through slower economic growth, while multifamily recovers as excess supply diminishes and renter demand stays robust.

The Q1 2025 pulse survey identifies Dallas as the most preferred US market for 2025, followed by New York, Miami, Boston and Atlanta, reflecting international investor allocation intentions.

Apartment leasing momentum accelerated through the first half of 2025 as elevated mortgage rates restrained both renter transition to ownership and sales by existing owners. Aggregate demand for retail property slowed materially amid heightened economic uncertainty, increased bankruptcies and store closures.

US retailers shuttered roughly 7.1 million sq ft of space in the first quarter following one of the weakest annual absorption totals in a decade. Canada posted negative net absorption of 5.2 million sq ft in retail over the same period.

The Q2 2025 update introduces an augmented base case combining macroeconomic scenarios with a machine-learning behavioral model. The forecast points to growth near 1.5 percent, disinflation, Federal Reserve rate cuts and stabilizing commercial real estate fundamentals.

The Q2 2025 outlook tracks a recovery led by the UK, Europe and the US, with APAC lagging. abrdn highlights structurally supported sectors and improving rental growth as the basis for total returns.

Moody's reported the national office vacancy rate climbing to 20.4 percent in Q1 2025, a record high, while multifamily found equilibrium after years of frictional oversupply.

Barings notes US real estate fundamentals improved in the first quarter of 2025 with positive absorption across core sectors and senior housing occupancy reaching its highest level since 2017.

The sector report found data centers demonstrating the strongest fundamentals across property types, supported by structural demand from cloud computing and artificial intelligence, with development constrained primarily by power availability.
The report provides Canadian commercial cap rates, sales volumes and capital markets analysis. Industrial and multifamily led activity in 2025 as cap rates began to stabilize or firm in several asset classes.

The report finds multifamily showing positive signs amid economic uncertainty, with early indicators suggesting resilience for the sector in 2025.
The monthly report finds office demand showing signs of recovery while retail remained tight and industrial vacancies continued to climb.

Brookfield highlights a recovering real estate market with improving fundamentals and rising transaction activity, identifying housing, data centers, hospitality and logistics as the most attractive sectors where supply constraints meet sustained demand and operational improvements drive returns.

Green Street issued its 2025 U.S. sector outlooks with detailed market forecasts. The reports project performance across the major commercial property types for the year ahead.

Allsop's February market update reviewed conditions across UK commercial and residential investment markets, noting steady investor appetite where pricing aligned with buyer expectations.

Berkadia surveyed its investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers on the 2025 outlook, finding 83 percent of multifamily investors planned acquisitions during the year and only 2 percent intended to shrink portfolios.

All four indices came in below the breakeven level of 50: Market Tightness at 40, Sales Volume at 41, Equity Financing at 48 and Debt Financing at 32, signaling looser conditions and reduced deal flow to start the year.

Fannie Mae's annual multifamily outlook anticipates conditions improving in most markets through 2025, while flagging negative rent growth in high-supply metros such as Austin, Phoenix, San Antonio and Raleigh.

Freddie Mac forecasts positive but weaker multifamily growth in 2025, projecting rent growth of 2.2 percent and vacancy rising to 6.2 percent, with origination volume expected at 370 to 380 billion dollars.

The first quarter 2025 European outlook reviews growth, inflation and monetary policy across the region and their implications for commercial real estate. The report assesses sector fundamentals as European markets stabilize.

Hines examines global living sector trends across rental residential, student housing and other beds-focused strategies. The report frames demographic and supply dynamics supporting the living sectors in 2025.

Capital Economics expects further capital value declines across all US sectors during the year, with valuations looking stretched and forecasts running below the PREA and ULI consensus.

The year-end sentiment survey found optimism returning to commercial real estate, with the Real Estate Market Index moving into recovery territory. Respondents projected further improvement in market conditions over the following 12 months.

The C-Suite Outlook compiles the perspectives of senior real estate executives on conditions and strategy for the year ahead. It draws on a respondent base where 82 percent are C-suite or senior executives averaging roughly 25 years of industry tenure.

The 2025 global outlook comprises in-depth research articulating distinct investment views across the United States, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Mexico, as well as the private real estate credit markets globally.

Savills forecasts an average total return of 7.4 percent for UK real estate in its 2025 cross-sector outlook, up from 6.8 percent for 2024. Twelve UK property sub-sectors are projected to deliver annualised returns above 8 percent between 2025 and 2029.

The explainer details how Apartment List derives a daily and monthly vacancy rate from listed units across its platform. The national vacancy index reached 6.9 percent in January 2025, the highest level since tracking began in 2017.

Northmarq's 2025 national multifamily outlook reports a combination of optimism and uncertainty, with stronger than forecast conditions and robust renter demand stabilizing the sector, alongside an anticipated slowdown in new construction.

Marcus and Millichap's 2025 multifamily forecast projects supply and demand to re-align for the first time in four years. Rent growth was expected to remain tepid through much of 2025 with momentum building later in the year, supported by average rents remaining well below typical mortgage payments.

abrdn judges that most global real estate price corrections have concluded entering 2025, with returns driven by income and net operating income growth rather than yield compression. The firm is most positive on multifamily, expecting excess supply to be absorbed by mid-2025.

AEW's first quarter 2025 perspective assesses U.S. property fundamentals and pricing as the market entered a recovery phase. The report tracks institutional investor return expectations across the major sectors amid still-elevated interest rates.