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Latest Mar 31, 2026
Global Real Estate Intelligence is a neutral index of publicly available research. All rights in Kidder Mathews’s work remain with Kidder Mathews; we link to the original.
Portland's industrial market in Q1 2026 experienced direct vacancy rising to 6.5% (a 15-year high), up 160 basis points year-over-year, with asking rents averaging $0.87 PSF NNN under pressure from increased concessions and sublease activity, while net absorption remained negative at -872,345 SF and leasing volume improved 31% year-over-year to 2.5 million square feet. The regional unemployment rate for Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro MSA reached 4.9% as of December 2025 (up from 4.1% year-prior), manufacturing employment declined 4.3% year-over-year to 114.7k jobs, and meaningful market recovery is not expected until at least 2027 due to continued supply deliveries and uneven absorption across submarkets.
The Puget Sound industrial market remained soft in Q1 2026, with total regional inventory at 410 million SF across 11,333 properties, vacancy increasing to 9.3% from 8.9% year-end 2025, and average blended asking rent at $1.07 per SF. Key submarket conditions varied widely, with Pierce County delivering 1.24 million SF and experiencing positive absorption of 625,284 SF, while Seattle Close-In, Southend, and Eastside submarkets all showed negative absorption, and global supply chain pressures plus recent cargo volumes tracking 17% below prior-year levels continued to constrain the regional market.
The Seattle multifamily market in Q2 2026 showed declining vacancy at 6.7% (down from 7.0% year-over-year), modest rent growth to an average of $2,048 per unit, and net absorption of 6,085 units year-to-date, while construction deliveries declined 53% to 3,813 units with approximately 19,368 units remaining under construction. Investment activity reflected lower per-unit pricing at $276,610, down 14.75% year-over-year, with net absorption continuing to outpace new supply and supporting overall market stability.
Sacramento's office market maintained a direct vacancy rate of 11.2% in first quarter 2026, unchanged from the prior quarter but up 40 basis points year-over-year, while leasing activity improved 4.2% to 643,747 square feet and asking rents declined 1.9% to $2.17 per square foot as landlords offered concessions. The market showed early stabilization signs with declining availability and renewed government tenant demand, notably the Sacramento District Attorney's Office signing a 121,074 square foot fifteen-year lease, though net absorption remained negative at minus 25,948 square feet and investment activity stayed muted with zero new deliveries.
The Portland office market in Q2 2026 showed stabilizing vacancy at 15.3% with positive year-to-date net absorption of 173,519 SF, though quarterly net absorption remained negative at -29,025 SF, while average asking rents declined 2.4% year-over-year to $29.16 PSF. The regional unemployment rate stood at 4.7% as of May 2026, and the market is expected to remain tenant-favorable in the near term with limited new construction in the pipeline.
The Phoenix office market in first quarter 2026 experienced negative net absorption of 267,000 square feet with leasing activity increasing 10% year-over-year to 1.4 million square feet, while total vacancy decreased 70 basis points to 24.0% and average direct asking rates rose to $31.45 per square foot. Hybrid work trends are driving tenant demand toward smaller move-in-ready suites averaging 4,000-5,000 square feet and Class A properties offering hospitality-driven amenities such as conference facilities and on-site dining, with Tempe recording the strongest submarket performance at 195,000 square feet of positive net absorption.
The Orange County retail market in Q2 2026 showed a vacancy rate of 3.8%, average asking rents of $2.72 per square foot per month, positive net absorption of 240,744 square feet, and an average sales price of $572 per square foot, with major transactions including the sale of 43 Auto Center Drive for $49.9 million and Burlington's 26,395-square-foot lease at Von Karman Plaza. Construction activity included 284,179 square feet under development and year-to-date deliveries of 85,425 square feet, with major projects scheduled for first-quarter 2027 completion.
Kidder Mathews' Q1 2026 Sacramento industrial market report documents a market in transition, with the direct vacancy rate reaching 6.7% (a 10-year high) and total availability climbing 190 basis points year-over-year to 10.3%, driven by softening demand and recently delivered space. Leasing activity totaled 1.6 million square feet in the quarter with negative net absorption of 406,000 square feet, while asking lease rates remained stable at $0.82 per square foot NNN and the regional unemployment rate rose to 5.2% in January 2026.
This Kidder Mathews report analyzes the Phoenix multifamily market in first quarter 2026, presenting data on vacancy rates, rental prices, construction activity, and significant transactions across the region. Key findings include a vacancy rate of 11.8% (down 10 basis points year-over-year), average asking rents of $1,535 per unit (down 3% year-over-year), construction deliveries of 2,978 square feet (down 28% year-over-year), and average sales prices of $221,942 per unit (down 12% year-over-year).
The Seattle industrial market in Q1 2026 experienced rising vacancy (9.3%, up from 8.9% at year-end 2025), negative net absorption of 850,000 SF year-over-year, and declining rents averaging $1.07 PSF, driven by global supply chain pressures, elevated fuel costs, and regional tax policy uncertainty. Regional inventory reached 409.7M SF across 11,333 properties with 1.54M SF delivered in Q1 primarily in Pierce County, while construction of 2.6M SF remained underway at 46% preleased and 85 buildings sold for $368.4M at an average cap rate of 6.6%.
The Kidder Mathews report analyzes Seattle's multifamily market in first quarter 2026, finding vacancy at 7.1%, average asking rents at $2,004 per unit, and average sales prices at $202,189 per unit, with year-over-year changes of -20 basis points in vacancy, 0.3% in rents, and -18% in sales prices. The report documents significant transactions including four property sales ranging from $15.8 million to $78 million, five major projects under construction with expected deliveries between 2Q 2026 and 3Q 2027, and five completed developments totaling 1,204 units delivered in early 2026.
The Portland multifamily market in Q2 2026 maintained a 7.1% vacancy rate with average asking rents of $1,656 per month, remaining essentially flat year-over-year despite positive net absorption of 2,604 units year-to-date. Construction activity declined significantly, with units under construction falling 35.9% to 4,215 units and year-to-date deliveries down 24.8% to 1,813 units, while average sale prices per unit decreased 12.9% to $182,489 and cap rates increased to 6.4%.
Silicon Valley's industrial market in first quarter 2026 shows divergent trends between industrial and warehouse segments, with industrial direct vacancy falling 60 basis points to 4.3% while warehouse vacancy rose 60 basis points to 5.6%, the highest in over three years. Asking lease rates for industrial properties declined 5.8% year-over-year to $1.80 per square foot, while warehouse rates rose 0.6% to $1.57, with both remaining above five-year averages; industrial leasing activity increased 4.3% year-to-date, but warehouse leasing declined 57.0%, reflecting uneven recovery concentrated in advanced manufacturing and technology-adjacent users rather than broad-based demand.
Kidder Mathews' 1Q 2026 Los Angeles office market report documents a market facing persistent headwinds, with direct vacancy holding steady at 15.9%, total availability at 19.7%, and average direct asking rents at $3.53 per square foot on a full-service basis. Leasing activity remained relatively flat at 3.4 million square feet with negative net absorption of 143,000 square feet, reflecting continued tenant hesitancy around return-to-office mandates and a structural shift toward remote and hybrid work arrangements, though healthcare occupiers and new media companies showed increased demand amid elevated landlord concessions in higher-vacancy submarkets.
Kidder Mathews' first-quarter 2026 Orange County industrial market report documents a direct vacancy rate of 5.7%, average asking rent of $1.46 per square foot on an NNN basis, net absorption of 58,051 square feet, leasing activity of 1.57 million square feet, and new deliveries of 435,000 square feet, reflecting signs of recovery after two years of occupancy declines. The report forecasts gradual market rebalancing through 2026 as development activity declines and available space is absorbed, with asking rents expected to stabilize and then slowly decline as vacant spaces are leased.
The Los Angeles industrial market in first quarter 2026 recorded a direct vacancy rate of 5.9% with total leasing activity of 5.9 million square feet and negative net absorption of 2.0 million square feet, while average asking rents stood at $1.39 per square foot on a triple net lease basis with average sale prices at $325.04 per square foot and a 3.6% cap rate. Global geopolitical developments and elevated fuel costs pressured logistics users, though demand continued from aerospace, defense, and advanced manufacturing sectors, with notable transactions including Amazon leasing 500,000 square feet in Long Beach and Varda Space Industries leasing 200,000 square feet in Torrance.
In early 2026, Orange County's office market achieved a direct vacancy rate of 11.3%, representing a 3.8% year-over-year decrease below the national average, with 1.6 million square feet in leasing activity and 69,000 square feet of net absorption driven by strong tenant move-ins and constrained new supply. The market outlook remains cautiously optimistic, supported by 324,000 square feet under construction and 43,000 square feet recently delivered, with average asking rents at $2.86 per square foot on a full-service basis and demand expected to favor high-quality office space amid limited new construction and continued inventory reduction.
The San Francisco office market showed improving fundamentals in first quarter 2026, with leasing activity totaling 3.4 million square feet—the sixth consecutive quarter exceeding 2.0 million square feet—and net absorption of 855,000 square feet representing the strongest total since 2019, though overall vacancy remained elevated at 28 percent and asking rents increased 3.4 percent year-over-year to $48.70 per square foot. High-profile tenant expansions by AI-focused firms including OpenAI's 222,000-square-foot lease and Anthropic's combined 626,000 square feet across three properties demonstrated confidence in San Francisco as an innovation center, while demand concentrated in newer, well-located buildings with amenities reinforced a widening performance gap between high-quality and older inventory.
The Phoenix office market recorded negative direct net absorption of 267,340 square feet in the first quarter of 2026, with total leasing activity of 1.4 million square feet and a decline in vacancy rates to 24.0 percent year-over-year, while average direct asking rents rose 2 percent to $31.45 per square foot. The market continues to experience tenant downsizing driven by hybrid work trends, with demand shifting toward move-in-ready spec suites and Class A buildings offering enhanced amenities such as collaborative spaces and on-site services.
The Kidder Mathews Orange County Multifamily Market Report for Q2 2026 documents market conditions including a 4.3% vacancy rate (up 50 basis points year-over-year), average asking rents of $2,727 per unit monthly (1.8% year-over-year increase), 3,258 units delivered year-to-date (311.4% increase from 2025), and 1,615 units of net absorption year-to-date (29.8% increase from 2025). The report notes that average multifamily sale prices declined to $338,935 per unit (7.0% year-over-year decrease) with cap rates expanding to 5.0%, while units under construction fell 49.7% to 3,093 units as major projects including Pacifica Place at Irvine Spectrum (1,100 units) and Meridian at The Market Place (831 units) were completed by April 2
The Phoenix retail market in Q2 2026 recorded a 4.5% vacancy rate with average asking rents of $1.78 per square foot per month, representing a 9.37% year-over-year increase, while 3.29 million square feet remained under construction and average sale prices reached $296 per square foot. Year-to-date net absorption totaled 590,640 square feet (down 62.23% from the prior year), construction deliveries reached 1.29 million square feet (down 9.75% from 2025), and average cap rates expanded to 6.5%.
The Phoenix industrial market in Q1 2026 experienced declining vacancy rates to 12.4% (down 120 basis points year-over-year) with 7.5 million square feet of leasing activity and 4.4 million square feet of direct net absorption, while new construction slowed significantly to only 1.2 million square feet delivered. Average direct asking rents increased 5% year-over-year to $1.18 per square foot NNN for spaces 10,000 square feet and larger, driven by demand from advanced manufacturing, semiconductor expansion, and logistics users across submarkets including Glendale, North Chandler/Gilbert, and Goodyear.
The Phoenix multifamily market in Q2 2026 experienced improving fundamentals with vacancy declining to 11.3% (down 40 basis points year-over-year) and net absorption of 9,414 units year-to-date (up 50.24% compared to the prior year period), while construction pipeline activity contracted 35.45% to 15,974 units under construction. Average asking rents declined 2.17% year-over-year to $1,536 per month, cap rates compressed to 5.8% from 6.6%, and average sale price per unit increased 3.64% to $266,672, reflecting stronger investor sentiment as the market absorbs recent supply additions.
The Kidder Mathews report tracks San Diego's multifamily market in first quarter 2026, reporting a vacancy rate of 5.4%, average asking rent of $2,417 per unit, and average sales price of $369,930 per unit, with year-over-year changes of 50 basis points in vacancy, flat rental rates, and a 2% decline in sales prices. Significant transactions in the quarter included The Resort at Encinitas selling for $109.995 million and Dylan Point Loma for $91 million, while 2,430 square feet of new construction was delivered and net absorption totaled 1,850 square feet.
The Kidder Mathews report covers the Los Angeles multifamily market in first quarter 2026, presenting key metrics including a vacancy rate of 5.6%, average asking rents of $2,292 per unit monthly (flat year-over-year), average sales prices of $282,900 per unit (down 8% from 1Q25), and an average cap rate of 5.7%. The report details significant transactions, under-construction projects totaling 26,044 square feet, completed deliveries, and market trends showing construction deliveries down 23% year-over-year and net absorption down 83% compared to the prior year quarter.
The San Diego industrial market recorded 2.1 million square feet of leasing volume and positive direct net absorption of 250.5 thousand square feet in first quarter 2026, while vacancy increased to 9.6% and asking rental rates declined to $1.46 per square foot NNN. Industrial investment sales activity slowed with 1.4 million square feet trading across 54 transactions totaling $260 million, with average pricing falling to $307 per square foot amid selective capital markets and manufacturing employment declining 2.4% year over year in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad MSA.
The Seattle retail market in Q1 2026 posted a vacancy rate of 4.0%, up from 3.3% year-over-year, with asking rents stable at $23.40 per square foot, while net absorption remained negative at -17.8K SF though improved from prior years. Smaller-format and service-oriented retail continued to outperform, construction deliveries totaled approximately 51K SF concentrated in suburban corridors, and investment activity remained measured amid selective capital deployment.
The Puget Sound office market's regional vacancy rate rose to 23.1% in first quarter 2026, a 30 basis point increase from the prior quarter, with net absorption totaling negative 486,708 square feet as leasing activity remained slow despite signs of stabilization and improved fundamentals. Large technology firms including Microsoft and Amazon have paused office expansions and reduced surplus space, while Seattle's position as the third-ranked U.S. metro area for artificial intelligence industry growth is generating demand for smaller, furnished "plug and play" spaces, though downtown Seattle continues facing elevated vacancy and weak tenant commitment.
The San Diego office market in first quarter 2026 experienced a 16.2% year-over-year decline in leasing activity to 1.0 million square feet while vacancy remained essentially flat at 13.6%, though availability rose to 17.1% indicating growing marketed space. Sales volume increased substantially by 186.4% year-over-year to 2.3 million square feet with average pricing normalized to $215.21 per square foot compared to $462.67 in the prior year quarter, and the near-term outlook expects continued uneven conditions as occupiers prioritize higher-quality space while investment activity focuses on discounted urban and value-add suburban assets.
Kidder Mathews' first-quarter 2026 retail market report for the Inland Empire shows a vacancy rate of 6.3%, up 30 basis points year-over-year, with average asking rents declining 1.59% to $1.71 per square foot per month and average sales prices falling 17.85% to $285 per square foot. Construction deliveries totaled 268,162 square feet with net absorption of 287,027 square feet, while significant transactions included the sale of AMC Victoria Gardens 12 for $40.8 million and lease activity from retailers including Ross Dress for Less and Walmart Depot.
The Seattle office market in Q1 2026 posted a 23.1% vacancy rate for the overall Puget Sound region, with Seattle proper at 28.0%, showing deceleration in vacancy growth after years of sharp increases and modest signs of stabilization. Net absorption remained negative at -486,708 SF regionally, though at an improving pace compared to prior years, while construction activity contracted to historic lows of 63,527 SF under construction, and average asking rents edged up modestly to $32.95 PSF as investment transactions continued at approximately $310 million across 33 deals.
Portland's retail market in Q2 2026 maintained a vacancy rate of 4.7% while average asking rents reached $2.02 per square foot per year, up 2.66% year-over-year, with the market recording positive net absorption of 45,624 square feet despite limited construction deliveries of only 10,004 square feet year-to-date. Investment activity strengthened significantly as average retail sale prices surged 92.12% year-over-year to $335 per square foot, while the development pipeline remained relatively steady at 514,643 square feet under construction and average cap rates declined to 6.6%.
Kidder Mathews' Q1 2026 Silicon Valley office market report shows leasing volume of 2.1 million square feet (down 48.2% year-over-year), a vacancy rate holding at 16.5%, and asking rents averaging $4.16 per square foot, with activity concentrated among large strategic tenants rather than broad-based recovery. The market saw office investment sales of 615,000 square feet across 11 transactions at $546.1 million total dollar volume, while availability tightened to 16.6%, and Santa Clara County's unemployment rate was 4.0% in December 2025.
The Inland Empire industrial market experienced a cooling phase in Q4 2025, with direct vacancy rising to 7.2%, total availability reaching 12.7%, and average asking rents stabilizing at $1.00 per square foot on a triple net basis, while leasing activity totaled 5.7 million square feet with net absorption of 1.7 million square feet. Market trends indicate continued demand from major distributors and e-commerce companies for modern, high-clear facilities near ports and rail connections, though subleases representing roughly 20% of available space are moderating rents through improvement allowances and rent-free periods, with forecasts suggesting market stabilization and improvement in 2026 as new construction completions remain below historical norms.
The Inland Empire office market in 4Q 2025 showed a vacancy rate of 5.0%, down 15.25% year-over-year, with average asking rents at $2.04 per square foot monthly and average sales prices of $149.74 per square foot. Significant transactions included The Grove Business Park selling for $12.3 million and Victoria Commons for $12 million, while approximately 197,774 square feet remained under construction with expected deliveries through April 2026.
This Kidder Mathews report analyzes the Inland Empire multifamily market in fourth quarter 2025, presenting rental rates by unit size (studio to 3-bedroom ranging from $1,379 to $2,255 monthly), transaction data, and construction activity across the region. Key findings show vacancy increased 40 basis points year-over-year to 6.3%, average asking rents rose 1% to $1,937 per unit monthly, average sales price per unit declined 7.8% to $214,901, and cap rates increased 40 basis points to 5.9%, while construction deliveries for the year totaled 5,575 square feet, up 14% from 2024.
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