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Houston Office Market Report, Q1 2026
The Houston edition reviews local office leasing, availability and rents for the first quarter of 2026.
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Updated 1 month ago
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The Houston edition reviews local office leasing, availability and rents for the first quarter of 2026.
Cotality's Home Price Index update ahead of the spring 2026 buying season showed home price growth rebalancing as affordability constraints and elevated mortgage rates weighed on demand. The report tracks national and metro-level price movement.
Average advertised rent rose $4 in Q1 2026, a 0.2% gain and the weakest March growth since 2012, as heavy supply and slowing absorption weighed on the market.
Trepp's monthly delinquency report tracks CMBS late-payment rates by property type, with office continuing to carry the highest delinquency among the major sectors.
The quarterly publication sets out Nuveen Real Estate's house view on opportunities and risks across global markets. It reports global private real estate values rising for five consecutive quarters through Q4 2025 and trailing transaction volumes of 890 billion dollars, up 17 percent year over year.
The semiannual ranking identifies the strongest U.S. metropolitan markets for multifamily investment based on demand, supply and economic fundamentals.
Commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding rose 1.5 percent, or 75.2 billion dollars, to 4.99 trillion dollars in the fourth quarter of 2025. Multifamily debt grew 57.3 billion dollars during the quarter and 142.9 billion dollars for the full year.
The monthly Capital Trends report tracks U.S. transaction volumes, pricing and capital flows across property types, supporting investors, lenders and other market participants.
The annual migration study analyzes the search preferences of users who registered between January and December 2025 to map where renters are moving across US metros. It highlights the metros gaining and losing renter interest amid affordability pressures.
The piece describes a multifamily recovery defined by constrained supply and selective capital, taking longer than many anticipated, with rising resident retention.
Yardi Matrix revised its multifamily completions forecast upward, projecting roughly 450,000 units delivered in 2026, a drop from recent years but not enough to push rents to robust levels.
McKinsey examines how agentic AI can automate multistep workflows across property management, leasing, and other core real estate functions, enabling humans to work in partnership with autonomous AI agents. It frames agentic AI as the next wave beyond earlier generative-AI applications in the sector.
The March 2026 Beige Book compiles anecdotal information on economic conditions gathered from business contacts across the Federal Reserve Districts ahead of the FOMC meeting.
TPG and Peppertree leadership discuss digital infrastructure investment opportunities, particularly in wireless tower development and connectivity, following TPG's acquisition of Peppertree.
Clarion Partners makes the case for senior housing as demographic demand accelerates and new supply remains constrained. The report frames the sector as a long-term growth opportunity.
Walker & Dunlop Investment Partners argues the transition phase in multifamily offers attractive entry points as fundamentals improve and new supply declines.
Drawing on estimates from more than 200 CBRE professionals, the survey found cap rates stabilized across major property types in the second half of 2025, with most respondents believing yields have reached their cyclical high.
NIC research finds assisted living market penetration is shaped by factors beyond local demographics and economics, with implications for site selection and demand modeling.
Moody's Analytics CRE insights forecast roughly $805 billion in CRE lending for 2026, a 38% increase from 2025, with office and retail stabilizing and multifamily facing short-term headwinds.
JLL reports the U.S. lab market now exceeds 200 million square feet with a supply-to-demand ratio near 6 to 1, as AI and tough-tech firms take a growing share of leasing, including 30% of Boston signings in 2025.
Green Street published its 2026 annual sector outlooks with market forecasts across U.S. property types. The reports deliver supply, demand and pricing projections for institutional investors.
Blackstone President and COO Jon Gray writes that real estate is approaching the steeper phase of recovery, citing record leasing at Link Logistics, up 38 percent year on year, and New York City office leasing at levels not seen since before the pandemic.
Yardi Matrix reports average advertised asking rent rose $3 to $1,741 in January, snapping a five-month decline, with the firm forecasting a 1.2% national rent increase for 2026.
Fannie Mae provided approximately $74 billion of multifamily financing in 2025, up 34 percent year over year, including more than $8.3 billion in affordable housing and $1.9 billion in manufactured housing, marking its largest annual multifamily volume since 2020.
Moody's commercial real estate hub tracks deal volume, lending and property-level performance, noting December CRE deal volume sank further with office a relative bright spot.
Newmark's valuation and advisory survey gathers practitioner views on pricing, cap rates and transaction conditions across North American property types for 2026.
LaSalle's annual Investment Strategy Annual outlook for 2026 sets out the firm's global, European, North American, and Asia Pacific real estate strategy views to help clients navigate the year ahead.
CBRE's investor survey points to surging appetite for data centers, fueled by AI growth, rising capital allocations and a shift toward hyperscale strategies.
Berkadia polled over 200 advisors and bankers, finding Core-Plus properties expected to generate the best risk-adjusted returns in 2026, followed by Value-Add Class A and Class B rental housing.
Redfin's early 2026 housing market update found buyers cautious and sellers returning, with agents anticipating a busier spring. The report tracks inventory, listing activity and buyer-seller dynamics nationally.
The January research brief reviews labor market conditions and their implications for commercial real estate demand across property types in 2026.
The brief examines the availability and pricing of equity capital for commercial real estate as transaction activity recovers in 2026.
AFIRE's February 2026 pulse survey captures institutional investor sentiment on US commercial real estate strategy, allocations and preferred markets heading into 2026.
The fourth quarter 2025 global recap describes an inflection point in data center development as artificial intelligence workloads and neocloud demand reshaped deployment strategies across established and emerging markets.
The 80-plus page annual forecast combines proprietary Radius+ analytics with industry commentary, built on full-year 2025 data and historical insight from 1984 onward. It covers 2026 supply growth, demand dynamics, rental rate performance, and market-level regional divergence.
J.P. Morgan Global Research projects US house prices will stall near 0% growth in 2026, with home sales gradually improving as mortgage rates ease and builders use rate buydowns to clear inventory.
ICSC's post-holiday consumer survey found shoppers increased spending over the 2025 holiday season while price sensitivity influenced behavior. The findings track retail demand and consumer resilience.
The 4Q 2025 index rose 2.1 percent to 125.4 from 122.8 in 3Q 2025, approaching the all-time survey high of 126.6 set in 4Q 2024 as financing demand expectations reached a survey record.
The January 2026 survey reported updated readings across the Market Tightness, Sales Volume, Equity Financing and Debt Financing indices, gauging apartment market conditions at the start of the year.
Walker & Dunlop's annual intelligence report examines where the multifamily market stands and how the next phase of the cycle is taking shape, with 62.7% of surveyed owners expecting acquisitions to increase in 2026.
J.P. Morgan Asset Management argues commercial real estate valuations have fallen roughly 25% from their 2022 peak even as operating income rose, creating an attractive entry point as the recovery extends through 2026.
The Dallas-Fort Worth office market closed 2025 with its strongest performance since 2019, supported by robust net absorption, rising leasing activity and continued tenant preference for trophy and Class A space.
Freddie Mac Multifamily reports 2025 production volume topped 77 billion dollars, up 17 percent year over year, supporting over 577,000 affordable rental housing units.
JLL forecasts robust growth in hotel transaction volumes for 2026 on stronger debt markets and near-record dry powder, with the Americas leading 2025 volumes up 27% and luxury resorts a top target.
Heitman announced the final close of Heitman Value Partners Fund VI with 2.6 billion dollars in commitments, providing roughly 6.55 billion dollars of dealmaking capital across medical office, student housing, senior housing, self storage, multifamily and industrial assets.
NIC reports senior living occupancy rose through 2025 as new construction remained at or near record-low levels, limiting future supply for older adults.
Newmark Research frames its 2026 base case as a decaf stagflation environment, with industrial supply and demand rebalancing, office demand building and slowing multifamily supply shaping rent growth.
MSCI notes acquisitions by traditional core real estate investors are at extremely low levels even as inflation falls and valuations stabilize, creating conditions for renewed price discovery in 2026.
Colliers' annual investor outlook surveys global capital intentions for 2026, pointing to recovering transaction volumes as pricing stabilizes and investors re-enter the market.
Green Street strategists expect a repeat of last year, with cap rates little changed and property values quietly inching higher on income growth.
Lument's annual seniors housing and healthcare outlook projects continued recovery as occupancy approaches pre-pandemic levels and valuations firm, with ample financing opportunities for borrowers, buyers and sellers across the sector.
The capital markets chapter expects transaction activity to broaden in 2026 as pricing stabilizes and the cost of capital eases, with income growth the primary driver of returns.
The January 2026 Beige Book summarises commentary on current economic conditions across the twelve Federal Reserve Districts, including commercial real estate, construction and lending activity.
The data center chapter highlights record-low vacancy, mounting power constraints and pricing at all-time highs as hyperscale and AI demand continues to outpace new supply.
The Greater Los Angeles edition reviews local office, industrial, retail and multifamily conditions for 2026, noting the lagging office market is bottoming out.
CBRE's flagship annual outlook projects U.S. GDP growth slowing to 2.0% in 2026 and commercial real estate investment rising 16% to roughly $562 billion, with returns described as income driven.
The Denver edition reviews local sector conditions for 2026, with the office market expected to follow other lagging metros toward a bottom by year-end.
CBRE expects a continued flight to quality among occupiers in 2026, with minimal speculative development given oversupply of first-generation space and tighter construction financing.
Houston recorded its first year of positive office net absorption since 2015, with 625,082 square feet of positive absorption for 2025, reversing nine consecutive years of tenant space reductions.
Commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding increased 53.4 billion dollars, or 1.1 percent, to 4.93 trillion dollars at the end of the third quarter of 2025. Multifamily mortgage debt alone rose 40.3 billion dollars to 2.24 trillion dollars.