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European Structured Finance 2022 Sector Outlook: Challenges on the Horizon
KBRA's sector outlook examines structured finance trends and headwinds across European markets.
Capital MarketsCMBSDebt & FinancingEurope
Updated 1 month ago
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251 reports
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KBRA's sector outlook examines structured finance trends and headwinds across European markets.
KBRA sector outlook analyzing Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities market conditions and forward expectations.
KBRA's sector outlook examining structured finance market conditions and expectations for 2021.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities market trajectory and expectations for the coming year.
KBRA analysis examining Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities sector dynamics and market conditions for 2020.
KBRA's outlook on structured finance market conditions and fundamental principles for the year ahead.
KBRA's structured finance outlook covering market conditions and trends across securitized real estate debt and capital markets instruments.
Fitch Ratings published updated methodology and criteria for assessing counterparty risk in structured finance and covered bond instruments.
Fitch Ratings analysis of US commercial real estate CLO issuance performance and reinvestment dynamics within a context of macroeconomic headwinds.
Fitch Ratings analyzes how rapid technological advancement may elevate obsolescence risk for assets underlying asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities.
Fitch Ratings webcast examining credit considerations for data centre securitisations across EMEA with focus on a UK case study.
Fitch Ratings analysis examining the divergent approaches to covenant structures and asset disposal mechanisms within European commercial mortgage-backed securities.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance data and trends for the specified period.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance trends and metrics for April 2026.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends.
KBRA research examines commercial real estate loan distress patterns across metropolitan markets, identifying divergent performance trends by geography and asset type.
Analysis of commercial real estate loan performance patterns across metropolitan markets, examining divergent distress trends by geography.
Analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends for March 2026.
KBRA research analyzing loan performance trends within the commercial mortgage-backed securities market.
Analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends from KBRA.
KBRA research analyzing loan performance trends across the commercial mortgage-backed securities market.
KBRA research analyzing commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends for December 2025.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance trends and metrics.
Analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends for the January 2026 period.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends for November 2025.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends for November 2025.
KBRA research examining commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends.
Analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends as of October 2025.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends for September 2025.
KBRA research analyzing commercial mortgage-backed securities loan performance metrics and trends.
KBRA publishes a periodic trend analysis covering commercial mortgage-backed securities market developments and outlook.
KBRA publishes a trends analysis covering commercial mortgage-backed securities market developments and activity.
KBRA publication tracking current trends and conditions in the commercial mortgage-backed securities market.
A periodic publication from KBRA tracking current trends and developments in the commercial mortgage-backed securities market.
KBRA analysis of current commercial mortgage-backed securities market trends and conditions.
KBRA provides analysis of current trends and market conditions in the commercial mortgage-backed securities market.
KBRA analysis of commercial mortgage-backed securities market trends and conditions.
A KBRA analysis tracking current trends and market conditions in the commercial mortgage-backed securities sector.
KBRA's monthly analysis of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities market trends and developments.
KBRA's periodic analysis of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities market trends and conditions.
Freddie Mac analysis of Small Balance Loan prepayment activity and trends as of December 2023.
A Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) is a company that owns, operates, or finances income-producing real estate, created in 1960 to make real estate investment accessible to ordinary investors through diversified professionally managed property portfolios. REITs operate under structural rules requiring distribution of at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders, with assets and income primarily derived from real estate, and include equity REITs (owning properties), mortgage REITs (investing in real estate debt), and hybrid structures, with the U.S. REIT industry currently comprising 190 publicly traded REITs valued at $1.6 trillion in equity market value plus approximately $400 billion in non-traded REITs and an estimated $4.5 trillion in total real estate holdings across all REIT types.
Altus Group's first-quarter 2026 survey of CRE borrowers and lenders reveals a commercial real estate debt market experiencing conflicting directional pressures.
Newmark's third-quarter 2023 capital markets analysis covering U.S. real estate investment trends, financing conditions, and cross-sector market dynamics.
Newmark's capital markets analysis covering fourth quarter 2023 activity across U.S. real estate investment and financing.
Trepp's analysis of CRE lending spreads from early 2025 through June 2026 finds that while spreads are compressing uniformly across property types at the 50-59% LTV level, relative premiums between property types are shifting—specifically, retail loan premiums have compressed relative to industrial loans, and office premiums have widened over retail. The report notes that these quoted spread movements may indicate capital rotation toward retail or competitive yield exhaustion in multifamily and industrial, though the data reflects only stabilized, low-leverage deals and may not signal broader credit repricing across higher-leverage or transitional assets.
Commercial mortgage-backed securities distress rate reached 12.07% in March 2026, with delinquencies hitting a new cycle high.
Analysis of special servicing rates in commercial mortgage-backed securities, reporting levels at 11.1% and delinquency trends.
Analysis of commercial real estate CLO market distress rates and non-performing maturities from CRED iQ.
CRED iQ reports on delinquency trends showing distress rates climbing to 11.4% in October, approaching historical highs.
Analysis of commercial real estate CLO delinquency metrics showing a significant 180 basis point reduction in distress rates.
A CRED iQ analysis of eight Freddie Mac multifamily securitizations priced in early 2026 (representing 472 loans and $7.2 billion) found weighted-average debt service coverage of 1.41x against 63.9% loan-to-value, with approximately 95% of balance carrying full-term or partial interest-only structures to maintain coverage in an elevated rate environment. The report identifies three dominant themes: coverage being manufactured through interest-only relief rather than cash flow, leverage holding steady while pricing adjusted upward (4.9% to 5.66% gross rates), and acquisition activity comprising 40% of balance, while flagging floating-rate pools like KF172 as concentrated refinancing and rate-cap-expiry risk concentrated among sub-1.25x amortizing coverage loans in Florida and the Midwest garden segment.
Trepp's report identifies a metric—the ratio of acquisition financing to total issuance in CMBS—that has preceded every major commercial real estate correction over the past 20 years, with a critical threshold at approximately 30% of sector issuance. The analysis demonstrates that this signal appeared across all major property types in 2007 (office at 39%, retail and multifamily close behind) and again in 2021 in multifamily (47%) and lodging (63%), each time followed by deteriorating loan performance and rising delinquencies, with 252 multifamily and office loans from 2020-2022 already delinquent or in special servicing as of the report's publication.
Ten-year conduit loans have declined dramatically from 95.6% of conduit loan count in 2019 to just 12.3% in 2026, while five-year loans have become the dominant format in the CMBS market. Median 10-year conduit spreads tightened from 301 basis points in 2023 to 201 basis points in 2026, suggesting the remaining market reflects more selective underwriting rather than pricing that is prohibitively wide.
Cushman & Wakefield analyzes how massive AI infrastructure bond issuance by tech hyperscalers is competing for fixed-income capital with CRE debt markets, raising financing costs and lender selectivity across commercial real estate sectors.
Total outstanding commercial real estate debt reached $5.1 trillion through Q1 2026, with banks holding $1.91 trillion (37.4% of income-producing debt), followed by GSEs at $1.16 trillion (22.7%) and insurance companies at $808 billion (15.9%), while securitized debt comprised $771 billion (15.1%). Key findings included securitized balances rising 8.6% year-over-year, banks growing 4.1% year-over-year in the income-producing segment, and near-term maturities of $311 billion and $186 billion concentrated among banks and securitized lenders respectively through 2026, with approximately $1.7 trillion of debt maturing in 2031 and beyond.
Will McIntosh and Shaun Moura, writing for the NAIOP Research Foundation, look at new capital markets and real estate data to analyze the current debt and equity landscape. The post US Capital Market and CRE Trends: H2 2025 appeared first on AFIRE .
Five-year conduit loans have become the dominant structure in CMBS issuance, rising from 3.1% of loan count in 2019 to 91.0% by 2026, though this shift reflects market preference for shorter duration rather than aggressive pricing. Spreads have remained disciplined post-2023, stabilizing in the high-200s basis points across property types, with multifamily pricing most tightly (263 basis points in 2026) and lodging most widely (319 basis points in 2026), indicating that lenders continue to differentiate sharply by collateral quality and sector risk despite the structural shift toward five-year terms.