Tighter Spreads, Wider Gaps: What Incremental Property Premiums Reveal About CRE Risk Pricing

Trepp's analysis of CRE lending spreads from early 2025 through June 2026 finds that while spreads are compressing uniformly across property types at the 50-59% LTV level, relative premiums between property types are shifting—specifically, retail loan premiums have compressed relative to industrial loans, and office premiums have widened over retail. The report notes that these quoted spread movements may indicate capital rotation toward retail or competitive yield exhaustion in multifamily and industrial, though the data reflects only stabilized, low-leverage deals and may not signal broader credit repricing across higher-leverage or transitional assets.