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The CEO Perspective, by Michael Brooks January 21, 2026 I spent much of my downtime over the holidays catching up on the myriad reports released by various government, not-for-profit, and for-profit entities that describe Canada’s housing challenges. The language that […] The post Re-Assessing the Housing Problem…

read in PDF format London’s residential development market remains severely... Read more The post The Residential Land Survey (2026) appeared first on Montagu Evans .

Development plateaus amid challenges similar to those facing the market rate sector SANTA BARBARA, Calif., June 17, 2026 – Decelerating U.S. affordable housing starts will result in a decline in deliveries over the next two years as a host of challenges confront the market, according to a new national report from…

Examines BTR as purpose-built single-family communities; renters-by-choice rose from 27% to 36% YoY; covers proptech, Sun Belt expansion, Blackstone's $3.5B Tricon deal and rate risks.

47th-edition outlook from 1,700+ industry leaders; housing affordability is the sector's top issue, driving migration, zoning reform and multifamily trends.

Examines the US affordability crisis: home prices at record highs vs income, the shortage of starter homes, zoning barriers, and a ~2 million-home supply gap with policy solutions.

MHI economic report: December 2024 production up 11.3% YoY, full-year up 15.9%; SAAR shipments 103,571 homes (+7.3% vs 2023); MH captured 8.9% of single-family starts in December.

JBREC: buying a starter home costs $1,091/month more than renting (vs $233 historical average), driving demand toward single-family rentals; market-by-market premiums analyzed.

CBRE overview of the U.S. build-to-rent sector: BTR helping ease the single-family housing shortage, strong institutional interest, exit optionality, and accelerating domestic/global capital.

Lower rate volatility is supporting further housing recovery as Canada's average single-family home price finds a floor after nearly a year of decline.

Home prices fell from prior peaks in 28 of 33 major expensive U.S. cities tracked in May 2026, with the largest declines in Austin (-27%), Oakland (-26%), and New Orleans (-19%), while prices rose year-over-year in only eight cities, notably Chicago and New York City which reached new all-time highs, and San Francisco where AI-driven compensation packages created a "mansion shortage" effect that boosted mid-tier prices 7.8% year-over-year. The analysis attributes prior price spikes from mid-2020 to mid-2022—led by Austin (+62%), Phoenix (+60%), and Fort Worth (+50%)—to Federal Reserve monetary policies including near-zero mortgage rates through quantitative easing, which created the current affordability crisis.

Hotel occupancy was weak in 2025. It is difficult to tell early in the year because travel is always weak in early January. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 3…

The document announces four U.S. economic data releases scheduled for Friday, January 10, 2026: the December employment report (consensus expectation of 55,000 jobs added and unemployment declining to 4.5%), Housing Starts for September and October, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index preliminary reading for January, and Q3 Flow of Funds Accounts from the Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve released the Q3 2025 Flow of Funds report today: Financial Accounts of the United States . The net worth of households and nonprofits rose to $181.6 trillion during the third quarter of 2025. The…

From Manheim Consulting today: Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index: December 2025 Trends The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) rose to 205.5, reflecting a 0.4% increase for wholesale used-vehicle prices…

From the MBA: MMortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 9.7 percent from two weeks earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA)…

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December A brief excerpt: Last year (2025) might have seen the lowest number of existing home sales since 1995.…

(Posted with permission). The ISM® Services index was at 54.4%, up from 52.6% the previous month. The employment index increased to 52.0%, up from 48.9%. Note: Above 50 indicates expansion, below 50 in…

This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the December 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR) of 311 thousand. Note: "Heavy trucks - trucks more than 14,000 pounds gross vehicle weight."

The household real estate asset market value reached $48.7 trillion in the first quarter of 2026, representing a 1.7% increase from the fourth quarter and a 2.6% increase year-over-year, while owners' equity in real estate totaled $34.9 trillion with a 71.6% equity share. Among generational cohorts as of the fourth quarter of 2025, Baby Boomers held the largest real estate assets at $19.4 trillion, followed by Gen X at $14.3 trillion and Millennials at $10.2 trillion, with Millennials experiencing the highest percentage gain of 80.4% since the fourth quarter of 2020.

Builder confidence in newly built single-family homes fell to 35 in the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for June 2026, marking the 14th consecutive month below 50, driven by rising material costs, elevated mortgage rates, and affordability challenges. The survey found that 35% of builders cut prices in June with an average reduction of 6%, while 62% used sales incentives, and regulatory costs were estimated to add more than 26% to the price of an average single-family home.

An NAHB study estimates that government regulations account for $131,734, or 26.4% of the average price of a new single-family home, comprising $46,795 in lot-development regulatory costs and $84,939 in builder-phase construction costs. The regulatory cost burden increased 40% from the 2021 estimate of $93,871, more than double the 2011 estimate of $65,224, based on surveys conducted in March 2026 and calibrated against a January 2026 average new home price of $499,500.

The median wage of construction payroll workers in 2025 was $61,370, exceeding the U.S. median of $50,980, with Chief Executive Officers earning the highest median wages in the industry at over $198,000. Among construction trades specifically, elevator installers and repairers topped the list with a median wage of $113,710, while carpenters, plumbers, and electricians all earned substantially above the national median, with wage variation generally correlating to required education, training, and expertise levels.

National house prices rose 1.7% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2026, the slowest annual appreciation since the second quarter of 2012, driven by higher mortgage rates and affordability challenges. Regional variation was pronounced: Puerto Rico led with 16.3% appreciation while Colorado recorded the largest decline at 2.4%, and among the 100 largest metro areas, annual appreciation ranged from −6.9% to +10.8%, with Midwest and Northeast metros outperforming while markets in Florida and Texas weakened.

In April 2026, nonfarm payroll employment increased in 41 states and the District of Columbia with a national gain of 115,000 jobs, while construction employment added 9,000 jobs nationwide with 32 states recording gains. State unemployment rates ranged from 2.2 percent in South Dakota to 6.2 percent in the District of Columbia, which experienced significant federal workforce reductions exceeding 300,000 positions in 2025.

Single-family construction declined across all geographies in Q1 2026, with large metro core counties experiencing the sharpest pullback of 16.0% year-over-year, driven by elevated interest rates, rising material costs, and labor shortages, while multifamily construction expanded in most markets with large metro core counties leading at 20.8% growth. The data reflects a decade-long structural shift away from dense population centers toward smaller and outlying markets in single-family construction, while multifamily construction has recently begun regaining share in large metro core counties after a period of migration to smaller markets.

John Burns Research and Consulting reviews homebuilder incentive strategies designed to boost sales without reducing base prices amid muted new home demand.
Cotality reported U.S. home price growth of 0.3 percent year-over-year and 0.4 percent month-over-month in April 2026, with prices up 0.8 percent since the start of 2026. The firm expects home prices to rise 5.3 percent between April 2026 and April 2027.
Cotality's Home Price Index update ahead of the spring 2026 buying season showed home price growth rebalancing as affordability constraints and elevated mortgage rates weighed on demand. The report tracks national and metro-level price movement.

The monthly Capital Trends report tracks U.S. transaction volumes, pricing and capital flows across property types, supporting investors, lenders and other market participants.

Redfin's early 2026 housing market update found buyers cautious and sellers returning, with agents anticipating a busier spring. The report tracks inventory, listing activity and buyer-seller dynamics nationally.

J.P. Morgan Global Research projects US house prices will stall near 0% growth in 2026, with home sales gradually improving as mortgage rates ease and builders use rate buydowns to clear inventory.

Morgan Stanley strategists lay out forecasts for mortgage rates and home prices in 2026 and 2027 and what they could mean for prospective homebuyers.
U.S. housing inventory expanded in December 2025, marking the 26th consecutive month of year-over-year gains, with active listings up 12.1 percent versus December 2024. National inventory levels remain 12.5 percent below typical 2017 to 2019 norms.

New home sales among the 50 top-selling master-planned communities declined just 3 percent versus the pace set in 2024. The Villages led with 3,611 sales, up 13 percent, while Florida accounted for roughly 42 percent of top-50 sales and Texas around 32 percent.

BGO chief economist Ryan Severino presents the firm's 2026 global outlook, projecting modest growth near 2 percent with moderating inflation and easing central banks. Industrial, housing and data centers are highlighted as the strongest investment opportunities.

The first quarter 2026 U.S. outlook sets out BGO's house views on the economy and commercial real estate sectors. The report assesses fundamentals across industrial, housing, retail and office as the cycle turns.

Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group projects the U.S. housing market regaining momentum into 2026 with total housing starts near 1.3 million annually and multifamily construction leveling out as supply and demand rebalance, while the 30-year fixed mortgage stays above 6 percent through much of the forecast.
Ares argues real estate is entering a new phase, with liquidity returning and values stabilizing across key sectors. Structural trends from AI-driven infrastructure to evolving housing demand are creating entry points for investors at an inflection point.
The November report finds affordability reshaping where Americans can buy, with buyers increasingly finding opportunities in smaller traditionally affordable refuge markets that have seen notable growth in price per square foot.
Zillow forecasts U.S. home values rising 1.2 percent in 2026 and existing home sales increasing 4.3 percent to 4.26 million, with multifamily rents projected to rise just 0.3 percent and single-family rents up 2.3 percent as affordability improves.

Redfin's 2026 housing market predictions frame the year as a reset, with buyers gaining leverage amid rising inventory and persistent affordability constraints. The report forecasts price, sales and mortgage rate trends for the year ahead.

Goldman Sachs Research finds US housing affordability has declined sharply and estimates at least 3-4 million additional homes are needed to close the supply shortage and improve affordability.

Fannie Mae's October 2025 outlook details the Economic and Strategic Research Group's expectations for home sales, housing starts, home prices and mortgage rates amid elevated borrowing costs and affordability constraints.

Morgan Stanley analyzes why Fed rate cuts alone may not revive the US housing market, identifying the additional factors needed for a meaningful recovery.

Morgan Stanley examines how rising home prices, high mortgage rates and limited supply are reshaping US housing over the next decade and where investors may find growth.

Charter Keck Cramer's national report found the Build to Rent sector recorded a 378 percent increase in supply, adding 8,590 apartments across capital cities during FY2021 to FY2025, and identified 2024 as the cyclical trough.

McKinsey finds the US was short 8.2 million housing units in 2023, a gap that could grow to 9.6 million by 2035, and estimates closing it would require about $2.7 trillion of investment while potentially adding nearly $2 trillion to GDP. It identifies five themes for making housing more affordable and advancing economic mobility.

Cotality reported U.S. home prices increased 3.4 percent year-over-year in December 2024 and forecast a 4.1 percent year-over-year gain from December 2024 to December 2025. A slight month-over-month dip was anticipated for January 2025.

Morgan Stanley explores how higher mortgage rates and limited supply are reshaping affordability, and why homeownership may remain out of reach for many buyers.