The industry's own research.
4,693 items
showing 4,381–4,440 of 4,693
Nuveen Real Estate's tactical sector-by-sector view on US commercial real estate fundamentals, pricing and relative value within its Trends and Tactics series.
Based on MBA's 2025 Commercial Real Estate Survey of Loan Maturity Volumes, 17% ($875 billion) of the $5.0 trillion in outstanding commercial mortgages is scheduled to mature in 2026, down 9% from 2025.
Analysis of the private credit landscape in CRE lending, where abundant liquidity is compressing spreads and pressuring risk-adjusted returns as institutions, life companies, and private lenders compete for quality multifamily and industrial assets.
JLL finds the EMEA residential investment market facing declining new supply and affordability pressures, while larger deals and cross-border capital activity drive growth into 2026.
Five takeaways from the 2026 MBA CREF conference: CRE originations hit $633B in 2025 (+27%) with $805B projected for 2026, nearly $1T in 2025-2026 loan maturities, and intensifying agency lender competition.
MBA's annual CREF Forecast projects total commercial mortgage origination volume to rise 27% to $805.5 billion in 2026, with multifamily originations climbing to $399.2 billion.
Barings' U.S. CRE research notes recovery underpinned by solid household balance sheets, sharply lower construction activity, three-year-high transaction volumes in Q4 2025, and record CMBS issuance amid disciplined underwriting.
AEW's 2026 U.S. outlook frames the year as normalization rather than boom or bust, with seniors housing the breakout sector and office facing durability concerns despite higher yields.
Blackstone's Global Head of Real Estate argues the sector has reached an attractive entry point, with construction down 60%+, debt costs down ~40% since 2023, and valuations only modestly off their trough. Conviction themes include data centers, warehouses, and rental housing.
A thematic study of the office trends reshaping European capital markets, charting the sector's recovery and transformation across the continent's major business hubs.
JLL identifies six interconnected forces reshaping commercial real estate in 2026, spanning cost pressures, supply constraints, AI implementation, energy-system convergence, and broadened investment access.
Avison Young's annual Canadian CRE outlook, with 97% of surveyed experts expecting activity to increase or hold steady and the strongest sales quarter since 2022 in Q3 2025.
The Americas chapter of LaSalle's ISA Outlook 2026, with stabilizing valuations, improving debt market liquidity and a sharp pullback in new development signaling early signs of a new cycle.
The Europe chapter of LaSalle's ISA Outlook 2026, arguing European real estate is breaking out of the cycle with strong occupier demand in luxury high streets and prime city-center offices.
Avison Young's annual US CRE outlook, drawing on a survey of 270+ market experts showing confidence rising to nearly 70% heading into 2026, with sector-by-sector guidance.
The Asia Pacific chapter of LaSalle's ISA Outlook 2026, as long-standing assumptions about trade, demographics and inflation give way to more intricate market dynamics.
Avison Young experts examine global real estate investment trends and cross-border capital flows, covering the London office resurgence, US debt liquidity and the 2026 investor outlook.
A Barings and Artemis roundtable across the U.S., Europe, and Asia Pacific arguing 2026 is a stock picker's market requiring active selection and granular analysis as performance disperses by quality and location.
Quarterly analysis of European office investment, with prime yields stabilising and appetite for larger lot sizes returning as €200m+ deals rose to 24% of volumes.
PGIM Real Estate's 2026 view on Asia Pacific markets, highlighting the flight to quality and ongoing rental outperformance of CBD over non-CBD offices.
PGIM's house view for US commercial real estate in 2026 argues that uncertainty is prolonging the early phase of the recovery cycle, while tepid capital availability creates a favorable vintage for selective acquisitions, development and credit.
PGIM Real Estate's 2026 outlook for private commercial real estate credit, noting rising multifamily origination share and demand for transitional bridge-to-agency financing amid upcoming loan maturities.
Analysis of how a federal shutdown affects GSE (Fannie/Freddie) and HUD-insured multifamily lending, concluding GSE markets remain fully operational while HUD processing may slow. Includes the $73B-per-GSE 2025 cap context.
Nuveen makes the case for a global approach to real estate, focusing on high-quality assets in leading cities and emerging sectors tied to megatrends like aging populations and technological innovation.
Analysis of the recovering UK retail investment market, with steady institutional demand and improving sentiment as buyers respond to rental growth and relative stability.
Examines how multifamily owners can use expanded financing options when facing maturing construction debt or lease-up properties, advocating parallel execution paths including agency takeouts, bridge financing, and sales. Draws on RealPage and Zelman data.
Second quarter 2025 U.S. multifamily capital markets report, noting record-setting demand, resilient absorption and vacancy compression despite robust new supply.
Pan-European office market review showing prime yields compressing to 4.96% in Q2 2025, led by Madrid, Barcelona, Paris CBD and Amsterdam.
Monthly snapshot of UK commercial property investment activity, yields and sentiment across the office, industrial and retail sectors.
Newmark's U.S. capital markets report covering investment sales, debt maturities and pricing trends, including an estimated $582 billion of potentially troubled debt maturing in 2025-2026.
Survey of 200+ clients on 2025 multifamily expectations: 65% plan moderate portfolio expansion, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac expected as most active lenders, and stable cap rates with exit rates 25-50 bps higher than entry.
Sector-by-sector breakdown of the outlook for UK commercial real estate investment in 2025, assessing how economic recovery and interest-rate moves shape each asset class.
Field report from the MBA Commercial/Multifamily Finance Convention covering capital availability, lending competition, and credit-spread compression across CRE sectors. Notes spreads as tight as 2021 and shifting lender risk tolerance.
Newmark's outlook on the U.S. data center sector, highlighting an AI-driven structural boom with record annualized spending on new construction and intense competition for power and industrial-zoned development sites.
Building on the 2025 Global Investor Outlook and EMEA survey, this report identifies key capital-markets trends and shifting investor strategies for EMEA real estate in 2025.
LaSalle's ISA Outlook 2025 North America chapter, forecasting that US and Canadian real estate is on the verge of a new cycle as interest rates fall from peak and transaction volume grows slowly.
CBRE projects a gradual recovery in U.S. commercial real estate investment in 2025, with cap rates moderately compressing and industrial and multifamily assets remaining investor favorites.
European real estate investment is set to keep recovering in 2025 as bid-ask spreads narrow, financing conditions improve, and international capital returns to the market.
Heitman and ULI's fifth climate-risk report examines the impact of rising property insurance costs on commercial real estate, with strategies for securing affordable coverage and emerging trends reshaping the market.
Examination of seniors housing financing options across traditional lenders, debt funds, and GSEs (Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, HUD), noting a 23% rise in acquisition activity and tighter refinancing terms.
Invesco's Listed Real Assets team's recurring commentary on the listed real estate market and outlook, covering market and sector performance, sub-sector reviews and regional forecasts.
MBA's quarterly research series tracking the level of commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding by capital source, with a downloadable latest report.
From the MBA: MMortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 9.7 percent from two weeks earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA)…
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At its June 2026 meeting, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50% to 3.75% under new Chair Kevin Warsh, who signaled a shift away from forward guidance toward allowing markets to price information independently, while the Summary of Economic Projections revised near-term inflation upward to 3.6% and the funds rate path to 3.8% without changing longer-run benchmarks. For commercial real estate, the meeting implies a slower return to rate relief in the near term despite unchanged long-run policy destinations, while Warsh announced five task forces to review Fed communications, balance sheet management, data collection, productivity, and inflation frameworks by year-end.
Trepp analyzed 1,419 re-securitization pairs of 1970s-vintage multifamily properties across 1,299 unique properties from 2021 through May 2026, finding a median value increase of 63.08% ($9.0 million) with median NOI growth of 39.38% and 81 basis points of cap rate compression, though value gains have slowed significantly after 2022 with median increases declining from 76% in 2022 to 38% in 2026 and cap rate compression largely disappearing. The strongest valuations occurred in Sun Belt markets like Houston and Phoenix (101-103% increases) and when properties transitioned from conduit loans to CRE CLOs (313% median increase), but properties already in CLO structures showed minimal re-pricing gains, suggesting future value growth will depend more on operational improvements than market-wide multiple expansion.
In Q1 2026, the largest banks (those with assets above $100 billion) saw commercial real estate delinquency rates decline sharply from approximately 1.9% to 1.5%, reflecting resolution of concentrated distressed office loans, while regional and community banks in the $16 to $40 billion asset range experienced the largest increases in delinquency rates. The divergence between largest and smaller banks mirrors patterns seen during the Global Financial Crisis, though at significantly lower magnitudes, with current median delinquency rates outside the top tier remaining below 1% compared to peaks near 4% during the GFC.
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On March 19, 2026, the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC jointly proposed Basel III capital rules that expand access to credit risk transfer (CRT) structures for U.S. banks, eliminating the prior requirement for case-by-case Federal Reserve approval and allowing standardized regulatory treatment instead. The document examines how synthetic risk transfer and credit-linked notes work for commercial real estate portfolios, illustrating with a stylized example how a regional bank holding a $500 million multifamily portfolio could reduce risk-weighted assets from $500 million to $78.1 million (16% of original) through a CRT, and identifies strongest CRT candidates as stabilized income-producing properties and smaller-balance owner-occupied commercial properties with strong fundamentals that diverge from their regulatory risk weights.
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The document discusses three key developments affecting commercial real estate finance for the week of June 15, 2026: the FOMC meeting on June 16–17 under new chair Kevin Warsh, movements in the Treasury yield curve reflecting short- and long-term rate expectations, and tightening of balance sheet lending spreads amid competitive loan markets. The analysis focuses on how Fed communication and rate signals will influence borrower and lender assumptions, the relative pressure on floating-rate versus fixed-rate refinancing structures, and whether recent spread tightening in loan markets will persist or diverge from wider spreads in lower-rated CMBS bonds.
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Detroit's office CMBS market totals approximately $2.0 billion across fewer than 200 properties, with office loans representing $741.83 million of upcoming maturities. Despite Detroit office assets showing weaker utilization metrics than national CMBS averages—including weighted-average occupancy in the high-70% range and over a quarter of securitized balances reporting vacancy above 25%—the market exhibits materially lower credit stress than national benchmarks, with fewer loans above 100% LTV, lower delinquency rates, and below-average watchlist exposure, a disconnect attributed to Detroit's small, less-impaired securitized base rather than superior operating fundamentals.
The Trepp Property Price Index (TPPI) for Q1 2026 shows commercial real estate pricing stabilizing broadly across the market, with the equal-weighted composite index rising 0.09% in the quarter to sit 4.45% above its June 2022 level, while the value-weighted index increased 0.07% but remained 7.53% below the 2022 peak. Sector-specific results revealed uneven recovery: industrial and office prices showed modest gains, retail remained relatively stable, multifamily weakened with a 0.77% quarterly decline, and lodging remained the worst performer at 12.50% below June 2022 levels, though the analysis notes that smaller and mid-sized assets are finding firmer footing while larger institutional properties continue to face financing constraints and incomplete price discovery.
The Trepp CMBS Special Servicing Rate decreased by 51 basis points in May 2026 to 10.86%, driven primarily by an office loan returning to the master servicer and denominator effects, with special servicing rates declining across most property types including office (down 91 basis points to 16.75%), lodging (down 121 basis points to 8.45%), and multifamily (down 57 basis points to 8.51%). New transfers to special servicing totaled approximately $2.9 billion across 59 loans in May.
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The document examines how the Federal Reserve, OCC, and FDIC's new model risk management guidance SR 26-02 (issued April 17, 2026) replaces the 15-year-old SR 11-7 framework, with key changes including a narrower model definition that excludes spreadsheet arithmetic and deterministic rule-based systems, explicit carve-outs for generative and agentic AI, and applicability primarily to institutions above $30 billion in assets. The guidance creates a governance gap for AI-driven commercial real estate workflows by placing statistical models within the MRM perimeter while excluding generative layers, extraction pipelines, and orchestration logic, meaning banks have regulatory latitude in deploying agentic AI for CRE underwriting but remain responsible for downstream risks that feed into pricing and credit estimates.
The document is a letter from the editor of Trepp and Commercial Real Estate Direct's 2026 mid-year magazine covering commercial real estate finance and CMBS markets, reporting that CMBS issuance reached nearly $52 billion through mid-May 2026 (up 16% year-over-year), CRE CLO issuance totaled $21.61 billion (up 60% year-over-year), and lenders have increased lending against multifamily properties and office buildings despite acknowledged risks including inflation and geopolitical concerns. The editor notes that while CMBS delinquencies have increased month-to-month, overall special servicing volumes remain stable and market conditions are stabilizing, though investors and lenders continue to move cautiously.
Harrison Street announced the sale of Oak Brook Commons, an 81,522 square foot Class A medical office property in Oak Brook, Illinois, as part of its healthcare real estate strategy.
TPG leaders discuss how asset-based finance is expanding across housing, commercial real estate, and digital infrastructure as bank retrenchment and structural demand reshape private credit.
With hyperscaler spending on AI and data centers projected to top $5 trillion by 2030, Goldman Sachs Research expects private infrastructure and real estate funds to supply a growing share of that capital.
John Burns Research and Consulting analyzes tightening commercial real estate capital markets, covering inflation, Sunbelt rental growth and shifting build-to-rent policy across the apartment sector.
Green Street's REIT-based price index rose 1.6% in May 2026 with the all-property index up 4.1% over twelve months, as NOI growth and steady cap rates lifted values, per co-head of strategic research Peter Rothemund.
Developed with Chandan Economics, the report tracks single-family rental performance, documenting sector resiliency, build-to-rent supply additions and property-level yields amid a softening for-sale home market.
Clarion Partners reviews the permanent extension of the Opportunity Zones program and its implications for real estate capital formation. The brief assesses how the structure shapes long-term investment.